Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
2
Value bet: Palermo to win @ 2.90 – our chance 37% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultPisa to win ✗40% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.67
Pisa vs Palermo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Pisa welcome Palermo to Arena Garibaldi for a Serie B fixture on Wednesday 28 October (19:00 WAT). In the table, Pisa are 8th, upper half, on 16 points after 11 matches; Palermo are 1st (leading the league) with 27.
Current form
Pisa, last 5: DWWDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Hellas Verona, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Palermo, last 5: WWWWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Carrarese, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately.
Momentum favours Palermo, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.3 for Pisa.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Pisa 1.6 xG, Palermo 1.6 xG – a total near 3.2. That is an open game on paper: 62% for three or more goals, 61% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Pisa 40%, draw 23%, Palermo 37%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.62.
Price worth noting: Palermo to win @2.90 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 37%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (61%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Pisa 1–1 Palermo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Pisa40%fair 2.48 · @2.30
Draw23%fair 4.33 · @3.10
Palermo37%fair 2.73 · @2.90
3.19Expected goals
1.64Pisa xG
1.55Palermo xG
61%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–19%
1–28%
1–07%
2–27%
0–16%
From our goals model: Pisa 1.6 – 1.6 Palermo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pisa to win✗
40%
2.48
2.30
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.30
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.64
1.62
Draw no bet
Pisa (draw no bet)
52%
1.91
–
Asian handicap
Palermo +1 (Asian handicap)✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.21
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
60%
1.65
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
–
First team to score
Pisa to score first✓
49%
2.03
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
38%
2.61
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pisa / FT Pisa✗
24%
4.18
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.67
–
Recent results
Pisa – last 6
DWWDLL
25 Oct
@ Hellas Verona
1–1
D
17 Oct
vs Cremonese
3–1
W
10 Oct
@ Vicenza Virtus
3–0
W
20 Sep
@ Mantova
2–2
D
15 Sep
@ Fiorentina
0–3
L
11 Sep
vs Virtus Entella
1–4
L
1.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Palermo – last 6
WWWWDW
25 Oct
vs Carrarese
2–1
W
17 Oct
@ Mantova
2–0
W
10 Oct
@ Empoli
4–2
W
19 Sep
vs Padova
2–1
W
13 Sep
@ Avellino
1–1
D
7 Sep
vs Sampdoria
3–1
W
2.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pisa and Palermo.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Pisa vs Palermo?
On our numbers Pisa have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Palermo 37%.
How many goals will there be in Pisa vs Palermo?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pisa vs Palermo?
Our predicted score is Pisa 1–1 Palermo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Pisa vs Palermo?
Pisa vs Palermo (Serie B) kicks off on Wednesday 28 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Arena Garibaldi.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
