Good pick · fair odds 1.56 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
1
Value bet: Ascoli to win @ 3.20 – our chance 34% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultPalermo to win ✗43% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✗78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.53
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓79% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.17
Ascoli vs Palermo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 6 November the Serie B brings Ascoli against Palermo at Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca. Kick-off: 20:30 WAT. In the table, Ascoli are 3rd, among the top four, on 20 points after 11 matches; Palermo are 1st (leading the league) with 27.
Current form
Ascoli, last 5: DWWDD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Arezzo, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Palermo, last 5: WDWWW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Vicenza Virtus, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.7 goals per game.
Momentum favours Palermo, collecting 2.7 points per game to 2.0 for Ascoli.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ascoli 1.4 xG, Palermo 1.6 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 57% for three or more goals, 62% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ascoli 34%, draw 22%, Palermo 43%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.53.
Price worth noting: Ascoli to win @3.20 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 34%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (64%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ascoli 1–1 Palermo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ascoli34%fair 2.93 · @3.20
Draw22%fair 4.47 · @3.40
Palermo43%fair 2.30 · @2.20
2.94Expected goals
1.36Ascoli xG
1.57Palermo xG
62%Both score
57%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–18%
1–07%
0–27%
From our goals model: Ascoli 1.4 – 1.6 Palermo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Palermo to win✗
43%
2.30
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
62%
1.62
1.53
Draw no bet
Palermo (draw no bet)
56%
1.79
–
Asian handicap
Ascoli +1 (Asian handicap)✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.18
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.76
1.65
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
1.50
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.18
First team to score
Palermo to score first✗
51%
1.97
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
40%
2.49
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Palermo / FT Palermo✗
25%
3.96
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.17
–
Recent results
Ascoli – last 6
DWWDDW
1 Nov
@ Arezzo
0–0
D
27 Oct
vs Sampdoria
2–0
W
24 Oct
@ Catanzaro
6–1
W
17 Oct
vs Empoli
1–1
D
10 Oct
@ Sudtirol
0–0
D
19 Sep
vs Avellino
3–1
W
2.0Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Palermo – last 6
WDWWWW
1 Nov
vs Vicenza Virtus
3–1
W
28 Oct
@ Pisa
3–3
D
25 Oct
vs Carrarese
2–1
W
17 Oct
@ Mantova
2–0
W
10 Oct
@ Empoli
4–2
W
19 Sep
vs Padova
2–1
W
2.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ascoli and Palermo.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Ascoli vs Palermo?
On our numbers Ascoli have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Palermo 43%.
How many goals will there be in Ascoli vs Palermo?
We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 57% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ascoli vs Palermo?
Our predicted score is Ascoli 1–1 Palermo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.
When is Ascoli vs Palermo?
Ascoli vs Palermo (Serie B) kicks off on Friday 6 November 2026 at 20:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Cino e Lillo Del Duca.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
