Value bet: Avellino to win @ 3.90 – our chance 32% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +24%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultBenevento to win ✗45% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @1.75
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓73% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.27
Benevento vs Avellino: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Benevento welcome Avellino to Stadio Ciro Vigorito for a Serie B fixture on Saturday 7 November (19:30 WAT). In the table, Benevento are 6th, upper half, on 16 points after 11 matches; Avellino are 5th (upper half) with 16. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Benevento, last 5: LDWDW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Cremonese, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Avellino, last 5: WDLDW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Pisa, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Benevento 1.4 xG, Avellino 1.1 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 59%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Benevento 45%, draw 23%, Avellino 32%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.75.
Price worth noting: Avellino to win @3.90 – the bookmaker implies 26%, our ratings say 32%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Benevento 1–1 Avellino. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Benevento45%fair 2.21 · @2.00
Draw23%fair 4.36 · @3.25
Avellino32%fair 3.15 · @3.90
2.54Expected goals
1.41Benevento xG
1.12Avellino xG
59%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
2–08%
From our goals model: Benevento 1.4 – 1.1 Avellino expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Benevento to win✗
45%
2.21
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.30
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
59%
1.68
1.75
Draw no bet
Benevento (draw no bet)
59%
1.70
–
Asian handicap
Avellino +1 (Asian handicap)✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
73%
1.38
1.28
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.91
1.85
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
1.33
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
1.11
First team to score
Benevento to score first
51%
1.95
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.29
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Benevento / FT Benevento✗
26%
3.91
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.27
–
Recent results
Benevento – last 6
LDWDWL
31 Oct
@ Cremonese
0–2
L
27 Oct
vs Catanzaro
1–1
D
24 Oct
@ Arezzo
3–0
W
17 Oct
vs Vicenza Virtus
2–2
D
10 Oct
vs Cesena
2–0
W
2 Oct
@ Frosinone
1–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Avellino – last 6
WDLDWL
1 Nov
vs Pisa
2–0
W
27 Oct
@ Virtus Entella
1–1
D
24 Oct
vs Padova
0–1
L
18 Oct
@ Cesena
1–1
D
9 Oct
vs Sampdoria
4–1
W
19 Sep
@ Ascoli
1–3
L
1.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Benevento and Avellino.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Benevento vs Avellino?
On our numbers Benevento have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Avellino 32%.
How many goals will there be in Benevento vs Avellino?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Benevento vs Avellino?
Our predicted score is Benevento 1–1 Avellino, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Benevento vs Avellino?
Benevento vs Avellino (Serie B) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Ciro Vigorito.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
