Value bet: Canaa EC to win @ 1.91 – our chance 56% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultCanaa EC to win ✓56% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · fair 1.27
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗57% · fair 1.74
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.71
Canaa EC vs Luziânia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Luziânia travel to face Canaa EC on Saturday 26 September in the Brasiliense B – the ball rolls at 19:30 WAT. In the table, Canaa EC are 1st on 13 points after 6 matches; Luziânia are 5th with 7.
Current form
Canaa EC, last 3: WLD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Planaltina DF, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Luziânia, last 3: LDW Their latest outing: 0–6 defeat to GREVAL, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Canaa EC 1.5 xG, Luziânia 0.8 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 43%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Canaa EC 56%, draw 21%, Luziânia 22%.
Price worth noting: Canaa EC to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 56%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (57%, odds 1.70). Most likely score in line with that pick: Canaa EC 1–0 Luziânia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Canaa EC56%fair 1.77 · @1.91
Draw21%fair 4.70 · @3.40
Luziânia22%fair 4.47 · @3.40
2.32Expected goals
1.51Canaa EC xG
0.81Luziânia xG
43%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
1–112%
2–011%
0–010%
2–19%
0–18%
From our goals model: Canaa EC 1.5 – 0.8 Luziânia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Canaa EC to win✓
56%
1.77
1.91 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
57%
1.74
–
Draw no bet
Canaa EC (draw no bet)✓
72%
1.40
–
Asian handicap
Luziânia +1 (Asian handicap)
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.75
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.26
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.09
–
First team to score
Canaa EC to score first✓
59%
1.70
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
45%
2.22
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Canaa EC / FT Canaa EC✓
32%
3.08
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.71
–
Recent results
Canaa EC – last 3
WLD
20 Sep
vs Planaltina DF
1–0
W
6 Sep
@ Taguatinga EC
0–1
L
29 Aug
vs Legião
1–1
D
0.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Luziânia – last 3
LDW
20 Sep
vs GREVAL
0–6
L
12 Sep
@ Legião
0–0
D
5 Sep
vs Planaltina DF
2–1
W
0.7Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Canaa EC and Luziânia.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win Canaa EC vs Luziânia?
On our numbers Canaa EC have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Luziânia 22%.
How many goals will there be in Canaa EC vs Luziânia?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 43% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Canaa EC vs Luziânia?
Our predicted score is Canaa EC 1–0 Luziânia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Canaa EC vs Luziânia?
Canaa EC vs Luziânia (Brasiliense B) kicks off on Saturday 26 September 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
