Value bet: Gloria Bistriţa to win @ 2.80 – our chance 40% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultGloria Bistriţa to win ✗40% · @2.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓74% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.97
ASA Targu Mures vs Gloria Bistriţa: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Gloria Bistriţa travel to face ASA Targu Mures on Saturday 22 August in the Liga II, with Stadionul Trans-Sil the venue – the ball rolls at 09:00 WAT. In the table, ASA Targu Mures are 17th, lower half, on 11 points after 13 matches; Gloria Bistriţa are 14th (lower half) with 18.
Current form
ASA Targu Mures, last 5: LDWLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to FC Politehnica Timisoara, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Gloria Bistriţa, last 5: DLWWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Metalul Buzău, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Gloria Bistriţa, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.7 for ASA Targu Mures.
Head to head
When they last met (25 Jul 2026) it ended ASA Targu Mures 0–2 Gloria Bistriţa. The last 2 head-to-heads: ASA Targu Mures 0 wins, Gloria Bistriţa 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 2.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give ASA Targu Mures 1.3 xG, Gloria Bistriţa 1.3 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 57%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – ASA Targu Mures 37%, draw 23%, Gloria Bistriţa 40%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.80.
Price worth noting: Gloria Bistriţa to win @2.80 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 40%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (74%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: ASA Targu Mures 1–1 Gloria Bistriţa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
ASA Targu Mures37%fair 2.71 · @2.30
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @3.20
Gloria Bistriţa40%fair 2.48 · @2.80
2.58Expected goals
1.25ASA Targu Mures xG
1.33Gloria Bistriţa xG
57%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–110%
1–010%
1–28%
2–18%
0–08%
From our goals model: ASA Targu Mures 1.3 – 1.3 Gloria Bistriţa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for ASA Targu Mures vs Gloria Bistriţa?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 74% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win ASA Targu Mures vs Gloria Bistriţa?
On our numbers ASA Targu Mures have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Gloria Bistriţa 40%.
How many goals will there be in ASA Targu Mures vs Gloria Bistriţa?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for ASA Targu Mures vs Gloria Bistriţa?
Our predicted score is ASA Targu Mures 1–1 Gloria Bistriţa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is ASA Targu Mures vs Gloria Bistriţa?
ASA Targu Mures vs Gloria Bistriţa (Liga II) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 09:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadionul Trans-Sil.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
