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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Muangthong United v Nong Bua Pitchaya: numbers & prediction

Thai League 2 · Thailand · Thunderdome Stadium
Muangthong United 43%Draw 23%Nong Bua Pitchaya 34% Expected goals 0.57 – 0.43
53%
Betarazi pick

Not both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.88 · bookmaker 2.05 · Lost ✗

4/10Rating
2.05Odds

Picks by market

ResultMuangthong United to win ✓43% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗53% · @2.05
GoalsUnder 1.5 goals ✗74% · fair 1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗21% · fair 4.81

Muangthong United vs Nong Bua Pitchaya: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Nong Bua Pitchaya travel to face Muangthong United on Saturday 12 September in the Thai League 2, with Thunderdome Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 13:30 WAT. In the table, Muangthong United are 9th, upper half, on 14 points after 10 matches; Nong Bua Pitchaya are 3rd (among the top four) with 18.

Current form

Muangthong United, last 5: DLDDW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Uttaradit, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Nong Bua Pitchaya, last 5: WLWWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Kasetsart FC, at home. The attack is flying at 2.5 goals per game.

Momentum favours Nong Bua Pitchaya, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.0 for Muangthong United.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Muangthong United 0.6 xG, Nong Bua Pitchaya 0.4 xG – a total near 1.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 92%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Muangthong United 43%, draw 23%, Nong Bua Pitchaya 34%.
  • GG/NG: NG (53%) at 2.05.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Not both teams to score (53%, odds 2.05 – longer than our fair 1.88, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Muangthong United 0–0 Nong Bua Pitchaya. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Muangthong United43%fair 2.34 · @2.20
Draw23%fair 4.32 · @3.00
Nong Bua Pitchaya34%fair 2.94 · @2.90
1.00Expected goals
0.57Muangthong United xG
0.43Nong Bua Pitchaya xG
47%Both score
8%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–037%
1–021%
0–116%
1–19%
2–06%
0–23%

From our goals model: Muangthong United 0.6 – 0.4 Nong Bua Pitchaya expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMuangthong United to win ✓43%2.342.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.301.33
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗53%1.882.05 ▲
Draw no betMuangthong United (draw no bet) ✓56%1.80–
Asian handicapNong Bua Pitchaya +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗69%1.45–
Over/under 1.5 goalsUnder 1.5 goals ✗74%1.36–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗92%1.09–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓98%1.02–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓100%1.00–
First team to scoreNo goal ✗37%2.72–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗68%1.48–
Half-time / full-timeHT Draw / FT Draw ✗42%2.40–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗21%4.81–

Recent results

Muangthong United – last 6

DLDDWL
4 Sep@ Uttaradit0–0D
10 May@ Sukhothai FC0–3L
1 Mayvs BG Pathum United1–1D
26 Apr@ Chonburi FC0–0D
5 Aprvs Chiangrai United2–1W
22 Mar@ Buriram United1–2L
0.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Nong Bua Pitchaya – last 6

WLWWLD
6 Sepvs Kasetsart FC2–0W
3 May@ Police Tero1–2L
5 Aprvs Khon Kaen United4–2W
28 Marvs Police Tero6–3W
22 Mar@ Nakhon Pathom1–3L
14 Marvs Esan Pattaya1–1D
2.5Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Muangthong United and Nong Bua Pitchaya.

Muangthong United vs Nong Bua Pitchaya head-to-head page →

Thai League 2 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Khon Kaen United10802+1224
2Uttaradit10541+919
3Nong Bua Pitchaya10532+1218
4Kanchanaburi10451+617
5Satun10442+516
6Nakhon Ratchasima FC10433+415
7Chainat10433-115
8Nakhon Pathom10352+114
9Muangthong United10424+114
10Phrae United10424014
11Chiangmai United10343+113
12Muang Loei United10334012
13Esan Pattaya10334-712
14Chanthaburi10244-110
15Police Tero10316-1310
16Songkhla10145-67
17Mahasarakham United10145-127
18Kasetsart FC10127-115

More Thai League 2 predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Muangthong United vs Nong Bua Pitchaya?

Our pick is Not both teams to score with a 53% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.05.

Who will win Muangthong United vs Nong Bua Pitchaya?

On our numbers Muangthong United have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Nong Bua Pitchaya 34%.

How many goals will there be in Muangthong United vs Nong Bua Pitchaya?

We expect about 1.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 8% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Muangthong United vs Nong Bua Pitchaya?

Our predicted score is Muangthong United 0–0 Nong Bua Pitchaya, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.0 goals in total.

When is Muangthong United vs Nong Bua Pitchaya?

Muangthong United vs Nong Bua Pitchaya (Thai League 2) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Thunderdome Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.