Value bet: Muangthong United to win @ 2.75 – our chance 40% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultMuangthong United to win ✗40% · @2.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗55% · fair 1.82
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 11.79
Satun vs Muangthong United: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Satun welcome Muangthong United for a Thai League 2 fixture on Tuesday 15 September (13:00 WAT). In the table, Satun are 5th, upper half, on 16 points after 10 matches; Muangthong United are 9th (upper half) with 14. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Muangthong United, last 5: WDLDD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Nong Bua Pitchaya, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Satun 1.5 xG, Muangthong United 1.5 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 56% for three or more goals, 55% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Satun 39%, draw 21%, Muangthong United 40%.
Price worth noting: Muangthong United to win @2.75 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 40%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (56%, odds 1.75). Most likely score in line with that pick: Satun 1–2 Muangthong United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Satun39%fair 2.58 · @2.20
Draw21%fair 4.71 · @3.40
Muangthong United40%fair 2.50 · @2.75
3.04Expected goals
1.51Satun xG
1.54Muangthong United xG
55%Both score
56%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–28%
2–18%
0–17%
1–07%
2–26%
From our goals model: Satun 1.5 – 1.5 Muangthong United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Muangthong United to win✗
40%
2.50
2.75 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
79%
1.27
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.82
–
Draw no bet
Muangthong United (draw no bet)✗
51%
1.97
–
Asian handicap
Satun +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
1.75
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
–
First team to score
Muangthong United to score first✗
48%
2.08
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
39%
2.54
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Muangthong United / FT Muangthong United✗
23%
4.39
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
11.79
–
Recent results
Satun – last 2
WL
12 Sep
@ Songkhla
3–1
W
6 Sep
vs Kanchanaburi
2–4
L
2.5Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Muangthong United – last 6
WDLDDW
12 Sep
vs Nong Bua Pitchaya
2–1
W
4 Sep
@ Uttaradit
0–0
D
10 May
@ Sukhothai FC
0–3
L
1 May
vs BG Pathum United
1–1
D
26 Apr
@ Chonburi FC
0–0
D
5 Apr
vs Chiangrai United
2–1
W
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Satun and Muangthong United.
What is the prediction for Satun vs Muangthong United?
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Satun vs Muangthong United?
On our numbers Satun have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Muangthong United 40%.
How many goals will there be in Satun vs Muangthong United?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Satun vs Muangthong United?
Our predicted score is Satun 1–2 Muangthong United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Satun vs Muangthong United?
Satun vs Muangthong United (Thai League 2) kicks off on Tuesday 15 September 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
