Esan Pattaya 61%Draw 22%Phrae United 18%Expected goals 1.23 – 0.44
82%
Betarazi pick
Esan Pattaya or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.22 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
1
Value bet: Esan Pattaya to win @ 1.95 – our chance 61% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultEsan Pattaya to win ✗61% · @1.95
Double chanceEsan Pattaya or draw ✗82% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗77% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗23% · fair 4.33
Esan Pattaya vs Phrae United: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 20 September the Thai League 2 brings Esan Pattaya against Phrae United at Nongprue Municipality Stadium. Kick-off: 12:30 WAT. In the table, Esan Pattaya are 13th, lower half, on 12 points after 10 matches; Phrae United are 10th (lower half) with 14. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Esan Pattaya, last 5: DLWDD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Chainat, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Phrae United, last 5: LDLDD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Muang Loei United, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Esan Pattaya, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.5 for Phrae United.
Head to head
When they last met (5 Apr 2026) it ended Phrae United 0–0 Esan Pattaya.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Esan Pattaya 1.2 xG, Phrae United 0.4 xG – a total near 1.7. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 77%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Esan Pattaya 61%, draw 22%, Phrae United 18%.
Lower-risk option: Esan Pattaya or draw (82%) at 1.25.
GG/NG: NG (54%) at 1.91.
Price worth noting: Esan Pattaya to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Esan Pattaya or draw (82%, odds 1.25 – longer than our fair 1.22, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Esan Pattaya 1–0 Phrae United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Esan Pattaya61%fair 1.65 · @1.95
Draw22%fair 4.62 · @3.10
Phrae United18%fair 5.63 · @3.40
1.67Expected goals
1.23Esan Pattaya xG
0.44Phrae United xG
46%Both score
23%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–023%
0–019%
2–014%
1–110%
0–18%
2–16%
From our goals model: Esan Pattaya 1.2 – 0.4 Phrae United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Esan Pattaya vs Phrae United?
Our pick is Esan Pattaya or draw with a 82% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Esan Pattaya vs Phrae United?
On our numbers Esan Pattaya have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Phrae United 18%.
How many goals will there be in Esan Pattaya vs Phrae United?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 23% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Esan Pattaya vs Phrae United?
Our predicted score is Esan Pattaya 1–0 Phrae United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.
When is Esan Pattaya vs Phrae United?
Esan Pattaya vs Phrae United (Thai League 2) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 12:30 (West Africa Time) at Nongprue Municipality Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
