Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.62 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
2
Value bet: Nong Bua Pitchaya to win @ 2.90 – our chance 37% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultChanthaburi to win ✗40% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.62
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗84% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.75
Chanthaburi vs Nong Bua Pitchaya: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Nong Bua Pitchaya travel to face Chanthaburi on Sunday 11 October in the Thai League 2, with Chanthaburi Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 13:00 WAT. In the table, Chanthaburi are 14th, lower half, on 10 points after 10 matches; Nong Bua Pitchaya are 3rd (among the top four) with 18.
Current form
Chanthaburi, last 5: LWDLD Their latest outing: 3–4 defeat to Uttaradit, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Nong Bua Pitchaya, last 5: WDLWL Their latest outing: 4–3 win over Satun, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately.
Momentum favours Nong Bua Pitchaya, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.8 for Chanthaburi.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Chanthaburi 1.7 xG, Nong Bua Pitchaya 1.6 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 63% and GG at 62%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Chanthaburi 40%, draw 23%, Nong Bua Pitchaya 37%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.62.
Price worth noting: Nong Bua Pitchaya to win @2.90 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 37%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (62%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Chanthaburi 1–1 Nong Bua Pitchaya. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Chanthaburi40%fair 2.50 · @2.20
Draw23%fair 4.32 · @3.00
Nong Bua Pitchaya37%fair 2.72 · @2.90
3.25Expected goals
1.66Chanthaburi xG
1.59Nong Bua Pitchaya xG
62%Both score
63%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–19%
1–28%
2–27%
1–06%
0–16%
From our goals model: Chanthaburi 1.7 – 1.6 Nong Bua Pitchaya expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Chanthaburi to win✗
40%
2.50
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.30
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.62
1.62
Draw no bet
Chanthaburi (draw no bet)
52%
1.92
–
Asian handicap
Nong Bua Pitchaya +1 (Asian handicap)✓
75%
1.34
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
84%
1.20
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
59%
1.69
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
First team to score
Chanthaburi to score first✗
49%
2.03
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
38%
2.64
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Chanthaburi / FT Chanthaburi✗
24%
4.18
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.75
–
Recent results
Chanthaburi – last 6
LWDLDL
20 Sep
@ Uttaradit
3–4
L
17 Sep
vs Kasetsart FC
2–0
W
13 Sep
@ Kanchanaburi
0–0
D
5 Sep
vs Khon Kaen United
0–1
L
4 Apr
@ Songkhla
1–1
D
14 Mar
@ Sisaket United
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Nong Bua Pitchaya – last 6
WDLWLW
19 Sep
vs Satun
4–3
W
16 Sep
@ Uttaradit
2–2
D
12 Sep
@ Muangthong United
1–2
L
6 Sep
vs Kasetsart FC
2–0
W
3 May
@ Police Tero
1–2
L
5 Apr
vs Khon Kaen United
4–2
W
2.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Chanthaburi and Nong Bua Pitchaya.
What is the prediction for Chanthaburi vs Nong Bua Pitchaya?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Chanthaburi vs Nong Bua Pitchaya?
On our numbers Chanthaburi have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Nong Bua Pitchaya 37%.
How many goals will there be in Chanthaburi vs Nong Bua Pitchaya?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 63% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Chanthaburi vs Nong Bua Pitchaya?
Our predicted score is Chanthaburi 1–1 Nong Bua Pitchaya, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Chanthaburi vs Nong Bua Pitchaya?
Chanthaburi vs Nong Bua Pitchaya (Thai League 2) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Chanthaburi Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
