Muangthong United 61%Draw 22%Phrae United 17%Expected goals 1.44 – 0.56
61%
Betarazi pick
Muangthong United to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.65 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.65Odds
Picks by market
ResultMuangthong United to win ✗61% · @1.65
Double chanceMuangthong United or draw ✗83% · @1.15
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · fair 1.48
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗19% · fair 5.14
Muangthong United vs Phrae United: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Muangthong United welcome Phrae United to Rajamangala National Stadium for a Thai League 2 fixture on Tuesday 13 October (12:00 WAT). In the table, Muangthong United are 9th, upper half, on 14 points after 10 matches; Phrae United are 10th (lower half) with 14. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Muangthong United, last 5: LWLWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Nakhon Pathom, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Phrae United, last 5: WWLDL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Kanchanaburi, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Muangthong United 1.4 xG, Phrae United 0.6 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Muangthong United 61%, draw 22%, Phrae United 17%.
Lower-risk option: Muangthong United or draw (83%) at 1.15.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.91.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Muangthong United to win (61%, odds 1.65). Most likely score in line with that pick: Muangthong United 1–0 Phrae United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Muangthong United61%fair 1.64 · @1.65
Draw22%fair 4.54 · @3.30
Phrae United17%fair 5.91 · @4.60
2.00Expected goals
1.44Muangthong United xG
0.56Phrae United xG
49%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–019%
2–014%
0–014%
1–111%
2–18%
0–18%
From our goals model: Muangthong United 1.4 – 0.6 Phrae United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Muangthong United to win✗
61%
1.64
1.65
Double chance
Muangthong United or draw✗
83%
1.20
1.15
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.97
1.91
Draw no bet
Muangthong United (draw no bet)✗
78%
1.28
–
Asian handicap
Phrae United +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
59%
1.68
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
95%
1.06
–
First team to score
Muangthong United to score first✗
62%
1.61
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.07
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Muangthong United / FT Muangthong United✗
35%
2.84
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
19%
5.14
–
Recent results
Muangthong United – last 6
LWLWDL
10 Oct
@ Nakhon Pathom
0–1
L
19 Sep
vs Chiangmai United
1–0
W
15 Sep
@ Satun
0–3
L
12 Sep
vs Nong Bua Pitchaya
2–1
W
4 Sep
@ Uttaradit
0–0
D
10 May
@ Sukhothai FC
0–3
L
0.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
17%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Phrae United – last 6
WWLDLD
9 Oct
vs Kanchanaburi
2–1
W
20 Sep
@ Esan Pattaya
3–0
W
17 Sep
@ Muang Loei United
0–2
L
13 Sep
vs Nakhon Pathom
0–0
D
6 Sep
@ Chainat
1–3
L
5 Apr
vs Esan Pattaya
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Muangthong United and Phrae United.
What is the prediction for Muangthong United vs Phrae United?
Our pick is Muangthong United to win with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Muangthong United vs Phrae United?
On our numbers Muangthong United have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Phrae United 17%.
How many goals will there be in Muangthong United vs Phrae United?
We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Muangthong United vs Phrae United?
Our predicted score is Muangthong United 1–0 Phrae United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.
When is Muangthong United vs Phrae United?
Muangthong United vs Phrae United (Thai League 2) kicks off on Tuesday 13 October 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Rajamangala National Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
