Nakhon Pathom vs Nong Bua Pitchaya: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Nong Bua Pitchaya travel to face Nakhon Pathom on Saturday 17 October in the Thai League 2, with Nakhon Pathom Municipality Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 12:00 WAT. In the table, Nakhon Pathom are 8th, upper half, on 14 points after 10 matches; Nong Bua Pitchaya are 3rd (among the top four) with 18.
Current form
Nakhon Pathom, last 5: LWDDD Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Chanthaburi, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Nong Bua Pitchaya, last 5: WDWDL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Chiangmai United, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Momentum favours Nong Bua Pitchaya, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.2 for Nakhon Pathom.
Head to head
When they last met (22 Mar 2026) it ended Nakhon Pathom 3–1 Nong Bua Pitchaya.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Nakhon Pathom 1.1 xG, Nong Bua Pitchaya 1.4 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Nakhon Pathom 32%, draw 25%, Nong Bua Pitchaya 43%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.95.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (55%, odds 1.95 – longer than our fair 1.82, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nakhon Pathom 1–1 Nong Bua Pitchaya. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Nakhon Pathom32%fair 3.16 · @3.20
Draw25%fair 4.01 · @2.75
Nong Bua Pitchaya43%fair 2.30 · @2.20
2.50Expected goals
1.13Nakhon Pathom xG
1.37Nong Bua Pitchaya xG
55%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–09%
1–29%
0–08%
0–28%
From our goals model: Nakhon Pathom 1.1 – 1.4 Nong Bua Pitchaya expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Nakhon Pathom vs Nong Bua Pitchaya?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Nakhon Pathom vs Nong Bua Pitchaya?
On our numbers Nakhon Pathom have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Nong Bua Pitchaya 43%.
How many goals will there be in Nakhon Pathom vs Nong Bua Pitchaya?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nakhon Pathom vs Nong Bua Pitchaya?
Our predicted score is Nakhon Pathom 1–1 Nong Bua Pitchaya, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Nakhon Pathom vs Nong Bua Pitchaya?
Nakhon Pathom vs Nong Bua Pitchaya (Thai League 2) kicks off on Saturday 17 October 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Nakhon Pathom Municipality Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
