Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.67Odds
Picks by market
ResultNong Bua Pitchaya to win ✓65% · @1.67
Double chanceNong Bua Pitchaya or draw ✓86% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓83% · fair 1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.19
Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Mahasarakham United: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 24 October the Thai League 2 brings Nong Bua Pitchaya against Mahasarakham United at Pitchaya Stadium. Kick-off: 13:00 WAT. In the table, Nong Bua Pitchaya are 3rd, among the top four, on 18 points after 10 matches; Mahasarakham United are 17th (in the drop zone) with 7.
Current form
Nong Bua Pitchaya, last 5: WLWDW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Bangkok, away. Scoring is no problem – 2.3 a game lately.
Mahasarakham United, last 5: DDLLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Huasamrong Gateway, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Nong Bua Pitchaya, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.7 for Mahasarakham United.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Nong Bua Pitchaya 2.2 xG, Mahasarakham United 1.0 xG – a total near 3.2. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 62% and GG at 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Nong Bua Pitchaya 65%, draw 21%, Mahasarakham United 14%.
Lower-risk option: Nong Bua Pitchaya or draw (86%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.57.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Nong Bua Pitchaya to win (65%, odds 1.67 – longer than our fair 1.54, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Nong Bua Pitchaya 2–0 Mahasarakham United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Nong Bua Pitchaya65%fair 1.54 · @1.67
Draw21%fair 4.71 · @3.50
Mahasarakham United14%fair 7.26 · @4.00
3.21Expected goals
2.24Nong Bua Pitchaya xG
0.97Mahasarakham United xG
60%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–010%
2–110%
1–09%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Nong Bua Pitchaya 2.2 – 1.0 Mahasarakham United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Nong Bua Pitchaya to win✓
65%
1.54
1.67 ▲
Double chance
Nong Bua Pitchaya or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
60%
1.66
1.57
Draw no bet
Nong Bua Pitchaya (draw no bet)✓
83%
1.21
–
Asian handicap
Nong Bua Pitchaya -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
83%
1.20
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
–
First team to score
Nong Bua Pitchaya to score first✓
67%
1.49
–
Half-time result
Nong Bua Pitchaya ahead at half-time✓
49%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Nong Bua Pitchaya / FT Nong Bua Pitchaya✓
43%
2.30
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.19
–
Recent results
Nong Bua Pitchaya – last 6
WLWDWD
21 Oct
@ Bangkok
2–0
W
17 Oct
@ Nakhon Pathom
3–4
L
14 Oct
vs Chiangmai United
3–1
W
11 Oct
@ Chanthaburi
0–0
D
19 Sep
vs Satun
4–3
W
16 Sep
@ Uttaradit
2–2
D
2.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Mahasarakham United – last 6
DDLLDD
20 Oct
@ Huasamrong Gateway
1–1
D
18 Oct
vs Muangthong United
0–0
D
14 Oct
@ Kasetsart FC
1–3
L
11 Oct
vs Uttaradit
2–3
L
19 Sep
@ Kanchanaburi
1–1
D
16 Sep
vs Nakhon Ratchasima FC
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Nong Bua Pitchaya and Mahasarakham United.
What is the prediction for Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Mahasarakham United?
Our pick is Nong Bua Pitchaya to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Mahasarakham United?
On our numbers Nong Bua Pitchaya have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Mahasarakham United 14%.
How many goals will there be in Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Mahasarakham United?
We expect about 3.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Mahasarakham United?
Our predicted score is Nong Bua Pitchaya 2–0 Mahasarakham United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.2 goals in total.
When is Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Mahasarakham United?
Nong Bua Pitchaya vs Mahasarakham United (Thai League 2) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Pitchaya Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
