Muangthong United 60%Draw 22%Police Tero 18%Expected goals 1.66 – 0.77
60%
Betarazi pick
Muangthong United to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.62Odds
Picks by market
ResultMuangthong United to win ✓60% · @1.62
Double chanceMuangthong United or draw ✓82% · @1.14
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · fair 1.81
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.82
Muangthong United vs Police Tero: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Police Tero travel to face Muangthong United on Monday 26 October in the Thai League 2, with Thunderdome Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 13:00 WAT. In the table, Muangthong United are 9th, upper half, on 14 points after 10 matches; Police Tero are 15th (lower half) with 10.
Current form
Muangthong United, last 5: LDLLW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Ayutthaya FC, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Police Tero, last 5: WWLDL Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Surin, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Police Tero, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.7 for Muangthong United.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Muangthong United 1.7 xG, Police Tero 0.8 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 45%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Muangthong United 60%, draw 22%, Police Tero 18%.
Lower-risk option: Muangthong United or draw (82%) at 1.14.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Muangthong United to win (60%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Muangthong United 1–0 Police Tero. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Muangthong United60%fair 1.68 · @1.62
Draw22%fair 4.50 · @3.80
Police Tero18%fair 5.51 · @4.33
2.43Expected goals
1.66Muangthong United xG
0.77Police Tero xG
45%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
2–012%
1–111%
2–19%
0–09%
0–17%
From our goals model: Muangthong United 1.7 – 0.8 Police Tero expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Muangthong United to win✓
60%
1.68
1.62
Double chance
Muangthong United or draw✓
82%
1.22
1.14
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
55%
1.81
–
Draw no bet
Muangthong United (draw no bet)✓
77%
1.30
–
Asian handicap
Police Tero +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
68%
1.48
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
2.00
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
77%
1.29
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Muangthong United to score first
62%
1.61
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
43%
2.30
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Muangthong United / FT Muangthong United✗
36%
2.77
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.82
–
Recent results
Muangthong United – last 6
LDLLWL
21 Oct
@ Ayutthaya FC
1–2
L
18 Oct
@ Mahasarakham United
0–0
D
13 Oct
vs Phrae United
0–1
L
10 Oct
@ Nakhon Pathom
0–1
L
19 Sep
vs Chiangmai United
1–0
W
15 Sep
@ Satun
0–3
L
0.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Police Tero – last 6
WWLDLL
21 Oct
vs Surin
4–1
W
17 Oct
vs Kasetsart FC
5–3
W
13 Oct
@ Kanchanaburi
0–1
L
10 Oct
vs Nakhon Ratchasima FC
1–1
D
19 Sep
@ Khon Kaen United
0–2
L
15 Sep
vs Songkhla
0–3
L
1.7Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Muangthong United and Police Tero.
What is the prediction for Muangthong United vs Police Tero?
Our pick is Muangthong United to win with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.
Who will win Muangthong United vs Police Tero?
On our numbers Muangthong United have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Police Tero 18%.
How many goals will there be in Muangthong United vs Police Tero?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Muangthong United vs Police Tero?
Our predicted score is Muangthong United 1–0 Police Tero, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Muangthong United vs Police Tero?
Muangthong United vs Police Tero (Thai League 2) kicks off on Monday 26 October 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at Thunderdome Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
