Satun vs Chiangmai United: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
12:00 WAT, Sunday 8 November: Satun v Chiangmai United in the Thai League 2. In the table, Satun are 5th, upper half, on 16 points after 10 matches; Chiangmai United are 11th (lower half) with 13. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Satun, last 5: DWDDW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Nakhon Pathom, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Chiangmai United, last 5: DDDLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Uttaradit, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Satun, collecting 1.5 points per game to 1.0 for Chiangmai United.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Satun 1.9 xG, Chiangmai United 0.8 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 53%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Satun 64%, draw 22%, Chiangmai United 14%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.77.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (69%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: Satun 1–0 Chiangmai United. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Satun64%fair 1.56 · @1.49
Draw22%fair 4.63 · @3.78
Chiangmai United14%fair 7.10 · @5.35
2.68Expected goals
1.92Satun xG
0.77Chiangmai United xG
53%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–013%
1–110%
2–110%
3–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Satun 1.9 – 0.8 Chiangmai United expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Satun to win✗
64%
1.56
1.49
Double chance
Satun or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.07
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.87
1.77
Draw no bet
Satun (draw no bet)
82%
1.22
–
Asian handicap
Satun -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
64%
1.55
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
75%
1.33
1.19
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.93
1.72
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.44
1.35
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
1.11
First team to score
Satun to score first✗
67%
1.50
–
Half-time result
Satun ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Satun / FT Satun✗
41%
2.43
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.39
–
Recent results
Satun – last 6
DWDDWL
1 Nov
vs Nakhon Pathom
0–0
D
24 Oct
@ Kasetsart FC
3–1
W
18 Oct
vs Chanthaburi
0–0
D
15 Oct
@ Uttaradit
1–1
D
11 Oct
vs Khon Kaen United
1–0
W
19 Sep
@ Nong Bua Pitchaya
3–4
L
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Chiangmai United – last 6
DDDLWL
1 Nov
vs Uttaradit
1–1
D
25 Oct
@ Chanthaburi
0–0
D
17 Oct
vs Songkhla
1–1
D
14 Oct
@ Nong Bua Pitchaya
1–3
L
10 Oct
vs Kasetsart FC
2–0
W
19 Sep
@ Muangthong United
0–1
L
0.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Satun and Chiangmai United.
What is the prediction for Satun vs Chiangmai United?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Satun vs Chiangmai United?
On our numbers Satun have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Chiangmai United 14%.
How many goals will there be in Satun vs Chiangmai United?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Satun vs Chiangmai United?
Our predicted score is Satun 1–0 Chiangmai United, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Satun vs Chiangmai United?
Satun vs Chiangmai United (Thai League 2) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
