Al-Nassr vs Al-Fateh: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Al-Fateh travel to face Al-Nassr on Saturday 15 August in the Pro League, with King Saud University Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 19:00 WAT. In the table, Al-Nassr are 3rd, among the top four, on 28 points after 11 matches; Al-Fateh are 16th (in the drop zone) with 6. There are 22 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Al-Nassr, last 5: LLWDW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Almeria, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.
Al-Fateh, last 5: LDWLD Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Mallorca, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Al-Nassr 2.9 xG, Al-Fateh 1.2 xG – a total near 4.0. That is an open game on paper: 77% for three or more goals, 53% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Al-Nassr 71%, draw 18%, Al-Fateh 11%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.83.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Al-Nassr 2–1 Al-Fateh. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Al-Nassr71%fair 1.41 · @1.12
Draw18%fair 5.66 · @8.40
Al-Fateh11%fair 8.87 · @17.00
4.03Expected goals
2.87Al-Nassr xG
1.16Al-Fateh xG
53%Both score
77%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–18%
3–18%
2–07%
3–07%
1–16%
4–16%
From our goals model: Al-Nassr 2.9 – 1.2 Al-Fateh expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al-Nassr to win✓
71%
1.41
1.12
Double chance
Al-Nassr or draw✓
89%
1.13
1.03
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.90
1.83
Draw no bet
Al-Nassr (draw no bet)✓
86%
1.16
–
Asian handicap
Al-Nassr -1 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
1.06
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
58%
1.73
1.62
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
62%
1.63
1.55
First team to score
Al-Nassr to score first✓
70%
1.43
–
Half-time result
Al-Nassr ahead at half-time✓
55%
1.82
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al-Nassr / FT Al-Nassr✓
50%
2.00
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.77
–
Recent results
Al-Nassr – last 6
LLWDWW
4 Aug
vs Almeria
0–2
L
1 Aug
@ Estrela
2–4
L
21 May
vs Damac
4–1
W
12 May
vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC
1–1
D
7 May
@ Al Shabab
4–2
W
29 Apr
vs Al-Ahli Jeddah
2–0
W
2.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Al-Fateh – last 6
LDWLDW
25 Jul
@ Mallorca
0–3
L
21 May
@ Al Kholood
0–0
D
14 May
vs Al Najma
2–0
W
6 May
@ Al-Ahli Jeddah
1–3
L
28 Apr
@ Al Shabab
1–1
D
24 Apr
vs Al Khaleej Saihat
1–0
W
0.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al-Nassr and Al-Fateh.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Al-Nassr vs Al-Fateh?
On our numbers Al-Nassr have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Al-Fateh 11%.
How many goals will there be in Al-Nassr vs Al-Fateh?
We expect about 4.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 77% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al-Nassr vs Al-Fateh?
Our predicted score is Al-Nassr 2–1 Al-Fateh, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.0 goals in total.
When is Al-Nassr vs Al-Fateh?
Al-Nassr vs Al-Fateh (Pro League) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at King Saud University Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
