Value bet: Under 3.5 goals @ 1.80 – our chance 62% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAl-Ahli Jeddah to win ✓71% · @1.20
Double chanceAl-Ahli Jeddah or draw ✓91% · @1.03
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.12
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗10% · fair 9.78
Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Abha: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Al-Ahli Jeddah welcome Abha to King Abdullah Sports City for a Pro League fixture on Saturday 22 August (19:00 WAT). In the table, Al-Ahli Jeddah are 6th, upper half, on 21 points after 11 matches; Abha are 18th (in the drop zone) with 3. There are 18 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Al-Ahli Jeddah, last 5: WWDLD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Al Anwar, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Abha, last 5: DLDLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Al Orubah, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 5. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Al-Ahli Jeddah 2.1 xG, Abha 0.6 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 59%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Al-Ahli Jeddah 71%, draw 21%, Abha 9%.
GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.83.
Price worth noting: Under 3.5 goals @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 62%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Al-Ahli Jeddah to win (71%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Al-Ahli Jeddah 2–0 Abha. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Al-Ahli Jeddah71%fair 1.41 · @1.20
Draw21%fair 4.88 · @6.25
Abha9%fair 11.74 · @14.00
2.72Expected goals
2.10Al-Ahli Jeddah xG
0.62Abha xG
50%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–015%
1–014%
3–010%
2–19%
1–19%
0–07%
From our goals model: Al-Ahli Jeddah 2.1 – 0.6 Abha expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al-Ahli Jeddah to win✓
71%
1.41
1.20
Double chance
Al-Ahli Jeddah or draw✓
91%
1.09
1.03
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
50%
1.99
1.83
Draw no bet
Al-Ahli Jeddah (draw no bet)✓
89%
1.12
–
Asian handicap
Al-Ahli Jeddah -1 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
80%
1.26
1.12
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
1.42
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
62%
1.62
1.80 ▲
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
78%
1.27
1.33
First team to score
Al-Ahli Jeddah to score first✓
72%
1.38
–
Half-time result
Al-Ahli Jeddah ahead at half-time✓
51%
1.96
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al-Ahli Jeddah / FT Al-Ahli Jeddah✓
47%
2.11
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–0✗
10%
9.78
–
Recent results
Al-Ahli Jeddah – last 6
WWDLDL
17 Aug
@ Al Anwar
2–1
W
13 Aug
@ Al Diriyah
1–0
W
28 Jul
vs Fulham
1–1
D
24 Jul
vs Guimaraes
1–3
L
19 Jul
@ Rio Ave
2–2
D
15 Jul
@ Holstein Kiel
1–4
L
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Abha – last 6
DLDLLW
16 Aug
@ Al Orubah
0–0
D
13 Aug
vs Al-Hazm
1–2
L
31 Jul
@ Rizespor
0–0
D
13 May
@ Al-Raed
1–5
L
1 May
@ Al Diriyah
0–2
L
21 Apr
@ Al Taee
2–1
W
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al-Ahli Jeddah and Abha.
What is the prediction for Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Abha?
Our pick is Al-Ahli Jeddah to win with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Abha?
On our numbers Al-Ahli Jeddah have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Abha 9%.
How many goals will there be in Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Abha?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Abha?
Our predicted score is Al-Ahli Jeddah 2–0 Abha, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Abha?
Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Abha (Pro League) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at King Abdullah Sports City.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.