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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Al-Ahli Jeddah v Abha: numbers & prediction

Pro League · Saudi-Arabia · King Abdullah Sports City
4–0
FT

Abha

DLDLL
Al-Ahli Jeddah 71%Draw 21%Abha 9% Expected goals 2.10 – 0.62
71%
Betarazi pick

Al-Ahli Jeddah to win

Strong pick · fair odds 1.41 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.20Odds
U3.5

Value bet: Under 3.5 goals @ 1.80 – our chance 62% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultAl-Ahli Jeddah to win ✓71% · @1.20
Double chanceAl-Ahli Jeddah or draw ✓91% · @1.03
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓50% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80% · @1.12
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗10% · fair 9.78

Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Abha: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Al-Ahli Jeddah welcome Abha to King Abdullah Sports City for a Pro League fixture on Saturday 22 August (19:00 WAT). In the table, Al-Ahli Jeddah are 6th, upper half, on 21 points after 11 matches; Abha are 18th (in the drop zone) with 3. There are 18 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Al-Ahli Jeddah, last 5: WWDLD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Al Anwar, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.

Abha, last 5: DLDLL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Al Orubah, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 5. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Al-Ahli Jeddah 2.1 xG, Abha 0.6 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 59%, GG 50%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Al-Ahli Jeddah 71%, draw 21%, Abha 9%.
  • GG/NG: NG (50%) at 1.83.
  • Price worth noting: Under 3.5 goals @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 62%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Al-Ahli Jeddah to win (71%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Al-Ahli Jeddah 2–0 Abha. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Al-Ahli Jeddah71%fair 1.41 · @1.20
Draw21%fair 4.88 · @6.25
Abha9%fair 11.74 · @14.00
2.72Expected goals
2.10Al-Ahli Jeddah xG
0.62Abha xG
50%Both score
59%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–015%
1–014%
3–010%
2–19%
1–19%
0–07%

From our goals model: Al-Ahli Jeddah 2.1 – 0.6 Abha expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAl-Ahli Jeddah to win ✓71%1.411.20
Double chanceAl-Ahli Jeddah or draw ✓91%1.091.03
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓50%1.991.83
Draw no betAl-Ahli Jeddah (draw no bet) ✓89%1.12–
Asian handicapAl-Ahli Jeddah -1 (Asian handicap) ✓63%1.59–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓80%1.261.12
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓59%1.701.42
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗62%1.621.80 ▲
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓78%1.271.33
First team to scoreAl-Ahli Jeddah to score first ✓72%1.38–
Half-time resultAl-Ahli Jeddah ahead at half-time ✓51%1.96–
Half-time / full-timeHT Al-Ahli Jeddah / FT Al-Ahli Jeddah ✓47%2.11–
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–0 ✗10%9.78–

Recent results

Al-Ahli Jeddah – last 6

WWDLDL
17 Aug@ Al Anwar2–1W
13 Aug@ Al Diriyah1–0W
28 Julvs Fulham1–1D
24 Julvs Guimaraes1–3L
19 Jul@ Rio Ave2–2D
15 Jul@ Holstein Kiel1–4L
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Abha – last 6

DLDLLW
16 Aug@ Al Orubah0–0D
13 Augvs Al-Hazm1–2L
31 Jul@ Rizespor0–0D
13 May@ Al-Raed1–5L
1 May@ Al Diriyah0–2L
21 Apr@ Al Taee2–1W
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Al-Ahli Jeddah and Abha.

Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Abha head-to-head page →

Pro League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Hilal Saudi FC111001+2330
2Al-Qadisiyah FC12912+2028
3Al-Nassr11911+1728
4Al-Ittihad FC11731+1024
5NEOM12714+822
6Al-Ahli Jeddah11704+921
7Al-Ettifaq12543+119
8Al Diriyah12435-315
9Al Khaleej Saihat12363-515
10Al Shabab11353+514
11Al Kholood11335-912
12Al Riyadh11335-1412
13Al-Fayha12255-411
14Al-Hazm12246-610
15Al-Faisaly FC12246-1110
16Al-Fateh12138-156
17Al Taawon12057-145
18Abha11038-123

More Pro League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Abha?

Our pick is Al-Ahli Jeddah to win with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Abha?

On our numbers Al-Ahli Jeddah have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Abha 9%.

How many goals will there be in Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Abha?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Abha?

Our predicted score is Al-Ahli Jeddah 2–0 Abha, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Abha?

Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Abha (Pro League) kicks off on Saturday 22 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at King Abdullah Sports City.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.