Al Shabab 65%Draw 21%Al Riyadh 14%Expected goals 2.28 – 0.98
86%
Betarazi pick
Al Shabab or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.16 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Al Shabab to win @ 1.75 – our chance 65% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAl Shabab to win ✗65% · @1.75
Double chanceAl Shabab or draw ✓86% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.22
Al Shabab vs Al Riyadh: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Al Shabab welcome Al Riyadh to SHG Arena for a Pro League fixture on Tuesday 25 August (19:00 WAT). In the table, Al Shabab are 10th, lower half, on 14 points after 11 matches; Al Riyadh are 12th (lower half) with 12. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Al Shabab, last 5: DDLWW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Al Khaleej Saihat, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Al Riyadh, last 5: LWLWL Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Al-Nassr, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.7 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (5 Apr 2026) it ended Al Riyadh 1–1 Al Shabab. The last 2 head-to-heads: Al Shabab 1 win, Al Riyadh 0, draws 1. Those games averaged 3.0 goals and saw GG land 2 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Al Shabab 2.3 xG, Al Riyadh 1.0 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 61% for three or more goals, 63% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Al Shabab 65%, draw 21%, Al Riyadh 14%.
Lower-risk option: Al Shabab or draw (86%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.57.
Price worth noting: Al Shabab to win @1.75 – the bookmaker implies 57%, our ratings say 65%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Al Shabab or draw (86%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.16, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Al Shabab 2–0 Al Riyadh. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Al Shabab65%fair 1.53 · @1.75
Draw21%fair 4.83 · @3.90
Al Riyadh14%fair 7.19 · @4.20
3.26Expected goals
2.28Al Shabab xG
0.98Al Riyadh xG
63%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–010%
2–110%
1–09%
1–19%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Al Shabab 2.3 – 1.0 Al Riyadh expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Al Shabab vs Al Riyadh?
Our pick is Al Shabab or draw with a 86% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Al Shabab vs Al Riyadh?
On our numbers Al Shabab have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Al Riyadh 14%.
How many goals will there be in Al Shabab vs Al Riyadh?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al Shabab vs Al Riyadh?
Our predicted score is Al Shabab 2–0 Al Riyadh, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Al Shabab vs Al Riyadh?
Al Shabab vs Al Riyadh (Pro League) kicks off on Tuesday 25 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at SHG Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
