Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.57Odds
Picks by market
ResultNEOM to win ✓62% · @1.57
Double chanceNEOM or draw ✓85% · @1.18
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗72% · fair 1.38
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7% · fair 14.41
NEOM vs Al-Fateh: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Al-Fateh travel to face NEOM on Sunday 13 September in the Pro League, with King Khalid Sports City the venue – the ball rolls at 17:20 WAT. In the table, NEOM are 5th, upper half, on 22 points after 12 matches; Al-Fateh are 16th (in the drop zone) with 6. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
NEOM, last 5: WWLLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Al-Hilal Saudi FC, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Al-Fateh, last 5: LDDDL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Al Diriyah, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Momentum favours NEOM, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.5 for Al-Fateh.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give NEOM 1.4 xG, Al-Fateh 0.5 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 72%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – NEOM 62%, draw 24%, Al-Fateh 15%.
Lower-risk option: NEOM or draw (85%) at 1.18.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.57.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was NEOM to win (62%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: NEOM 1–0 Al-Fateh. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
NEOM62%fair 1.62 · @1.57
Draw24%fair 4.20 · @3.75
Al-Fateh15%fair 6.88 · @4.40
1.83Expected goals
1.37NEOM xG
0.46Al-Fateh xG
52%Both score
28%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–022%
0–016%
2–015%
1–110%
0–17%
2–17%
From our goals model: NEOM 1.4 – 0.5 Al-Fateh expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
NEOM to win✓
62%
1.62
1.57
Double chance
NEOM or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.18
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.92
1.57
Draw no bet
NEOM (draw no bet)✓
81%
1.24
–
Asian handicap
Al-Fateh +1.5 (Asian handicap)✗
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
55%
1.83
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
72%
1.38
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
89%
1.13
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
96%
1.04
–
First team to score
NEOM to score first
63%
1.59
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
50%
1.99
–
Half-time / full-time
HT NEOM / FT NEOM✗
35%
2.82
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
7%
14.41
–
Recent results
NEOM – last 6
WWLLWW
7 Sep
@ Al-Hilal Saudi FC
2–0
W
3 Sep
vs Al Khaleej Saihat
3–0
W
28 Aug
@ Al Riyadh
0–1
L
24 Aug
vs Al-Qadisiyah FC
0–2
L
21 Aug
@ Al-Faisaly FC
2–0
W
18 Aug
@ Al-Faisaly FC
3–1
W
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Al-Fateh – last 6
LDDDLL
9 Sep
vs Al Diriyah
1–2
L
5 Sep
@ Al Taawon
0–0
D
29 Aug
vs Al-Ittihad FC
0–0
D
26 Aug
@ Al-Faisaly FC
1–1
D
22 Aug
vs Al-Ettifaq
0–1
L
19 Aug
@ Al Ula
0–3
L
0.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between NEOM and Al-Fateh.
Our pick is NEOM to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win NEOM vs Al-Fateh?
On our numbers NEOM have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Al-Fateh 15%.
How many goals will there be in NEOM vs Al-Fateh?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 28% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for NEOM vs Al-Fateh?
Our predicted score is NEOM 1–0 Al-Fateh, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is NEOM vs Al-Fateh?
NEOM vs Al-Fateh (Pro League) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 17:20 (West Africa Time) at King Khalid Sports City.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
