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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Al-Ahli Jeddah v Al-Nassr: numbers & prediction

Pro League · Saudi-Arabia · Alinma Stadium
Thu 15 Oct 2026
Al-Ahli Jeddah 36%Draw 21%Al-Nassr 42% Expected goals 1.67 – 1.83
66%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.50

6/10Rating
1.50Odds

Picks by market

ResultAl-Nassr to win42% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win79% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score66% · @1.50
GoalsOver 2.5 goals68% · fair 1.47
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–28% · fair 11.87

Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Nassr: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

19:00 WAT, Thursday 15 October: Al-Ahli Jeddah v Al-Nassr in the Pro League, played at Alinma Stadium. In the table, Al-Ahli Jeddah are 6th, upper half, on 21 points after 11 matches; Al-Nassr are 3rd (among the top four) with 28.

Current form

Al-Ahli Jeddah, last 5: WWLDW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Al-Wasl FC, away. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Al-Nassr, last 5: WWLDW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Neftchi, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (29 Apr 2026) it ended Al-Nassr 2–0 Al-Ahli Jeddah.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Al-Ahli Jeddah 1.7 xG, Al-Nassr 1.8 xG – a total near 3.5. That is an open game on paper: 68% for three or more goals, 66% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Al-Ahli Jeddah 36%, draw 21%, Al-Nassr 42%.
  • GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.50.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (66%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Al-Ahli Jeddah 1–1 Al-Nassr. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Al-Ahli Jeddah36%fair 2.76 · @2.90
Draw21%fair 4.68 · @3.30
Al-Nassr42%fair 2.36 · @2.05
3.50Expected goals
1.67Al-Ahli Jeddah xG
1.83Al-Nassr xG
66%Both score
68%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–19%
1–28%
2–18%
2–27%
0–16%
1–35%

From our goals model: Al-Ahli Jeddah 1.7 – 1.8 Al-Nassr expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAl-Nassr to win42%2.362.05
Double chanceEither team to win79%1.271.29
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score66%1.531.50
Draw no betAl-Nassr (draw no bet)54%1.85–
Asian handicapAl-Ahli Jeddah +1 (Asian handicap)72%1.39–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals86%1.16–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals68%1.47–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals54%1.86–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals73%1.38–
First team to scoreAl-Nassr to score first51%1.98–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time36%2.77–
Half-time / full-timeHT Al-Nassr / FT Al-Nassr25%3.92–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–28%11.87–

Recent results

Al-Ahli Jeddah – last 6

WWLDWL
12 Oct@ Al-Wasl FC3–1W
9 Oct@ Al-Fateh4–0W
19 Sep@ Mamelodi Sundowns1–2L
14 Sepvs Pakhtakor1–1D
11 Sepvs Al-Hazm3–1W
8 Sep@ Al-Qadisiyah FC2–3L
2.3Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Al-Nassr – last 6

WWLDWL
12 Octvs Neftchi3–1W
9 Octvs Al Diriyah3–0W
15 Sep@ Al Ain0–4L
12 Sep@ Al Khaleej Saihat1–1D
9 Sepvs Abha2–1W
5 Sep@ Al-Ittihad FC1–2L
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

29 Apr 2026Al-Nassr v Al-Ahli Jeddah2–0
Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Nassr head-to-head page →

Pro League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Hilal Saudi FC111001+2330
2Al-Qadisiyah FC12912+2028
3Al-Nassr11911+1728
4Al-Ittihad FC11731+1024
5NEOM12714+822
6Al-Ahli Jeddah11704+921
7Al-Ettifaq12543+119
8Al Diriyah12435-315
9Al Khaleej Saihat12363-515
10Al Shabab11353+514
11Al Kholood11335-912
12Al Riyadh11335-1412
13Al-Fayha12255-411
14Al-Hazm12246-610
15Al-Faisaly FC12246-1110
16Al-Fateh12138-156
17Al Taawon12057-145
18Abha11038-123

More Pro League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Nassr?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Nassr?

On our numbers Al-Ahli Jeddah have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Al-Nassr 42%.

How many goals will there be in Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Nassr?

We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Nassr?

Our predicted score is Al-Ahli Jeddah 1–1 Al-Nassr, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.

When is Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Nassr?

Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Nassr (Pro League) kicks off on Thursday 15 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Alinma Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.