Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Nassr: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:00 WAT, Thursday 15 October: Al-Ahli Jeddah v Al-Nassr in the Pro League, played at Alinma Stadium. In the table, Al-Ahli Jeddah are 6th, upper half, on 21 points after 11 matches; Al-Nassr are 3rd (among the top four) with 28.
Current form
Al-Ahli Jeddah, last 5: WWLDW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Al-Wasl FC, away. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Al-Nassr, last 5: WWLDW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Neftchi, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (29 Apr 2026) it ended Al-Nassr 2–0 Al-Ahli Jeddah.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Al-Ahli Jeddah 1.7 xG, Al-Nassr 1.8 xG – a total near 3.5. That is an open game on paper: 68% for three or more goals, 66% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Al-Ahli Jeddah 36%, draw 21%, Al-Nassr 42%.
GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.50.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (66%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Al-Ahli Jeddah 1–1 Al-Nassr. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Al-Ahli Jeddah36%fair 2.76 · @2.90
Draw21%fair 4.68 · @3.30
Al-Nassr42%fair 2.36 · @2.05
3.50Expected goals
1.67Al-Ahli Jeddah xG
1.83Al-Nassr xG
66%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–19%
1–28%
2–18%
2–27%
0–16%
1–35%
From our goals model: Al-Ahli Jeddah 1.7 – 1.8 Al-Nassr expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Nassr?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Nassr?
On our numbers Al-Ahli Jeddah have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Al-Nassr 42%.
How many goals will there be in Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Nassr?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Nassr?
Our predicted score is Al-Ahli Jeddah 1–1 Al-Nassr, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Nassr?
Al-Ahli Jeddah vs Al-Nassr (Pro League) kicks off on Thursday 15 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Alinma Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.