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Al Riyadh v Al-Hilal Saudi FC: numbers & prediction

Pro League · Saudi-Arabia · Prince Faisal bin Fahd Stadium
Fri 16 Oct 2026
Al Riyadh 9%Draw 17%Al-Hilal Saudi FC 73% Expected goals 0.96 – 2.73
57%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.76 · bookmaker 2.05

4/10Rating
2.05Odds

Picks by market

ResultAl-Hilal Saudi FC to win73% · @1.11
Double chanceAl-Hilal Saudi FC or draw91% · @1.02
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score57% · @2.05
GoalsOver 2.5 goals71% · fair 1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29% · fair 11.21

Al Riyadh vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Friday 16 October the Pro League brings Al Riyadh against Al-Hilal Saudi FC at Prince Faisal bin Fahd Stadium. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT. In the table, Al Riyadh are 12th, lower half, on 12 points after 11 matches; Al-Hilal Saudi FC are 1st (leading the league) with 30. There are 18 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Al Riyadh, last 5: DWDLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Al-Fayha, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Al-Hilal Saudi FC, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Al Sadd, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. 2.5 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Al-Hilal Saudi FC, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.5 for Al Riyadh.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Al Riyadh 1.0 xG, Al-Hilal Saudi FC 2.7 xG – a total near 3.7. That is an open game on paper: 71% for three or more goals, 57% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Al Riyadh 9%, draw 17%, Al-Hilal Saudi FC 73%.
  • GG/NG: GG (57%) at 2.05.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (57%, odds 2.05 – longer than our fair 1.76, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Al Riyadh 1–2 Al-Hilal Saudi FC. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Al Riyadh9%fair 10.70 · @15.00
Draw17%fair 5.80 · @8.00
Al-Hilal Saudi FC73%fair 1.36 · @1.11
3.69Expected goals
0.96Al Riyadh xG
2.73Al-Hilal Saudi FC xG
57%Both score
71%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–29%
1–29%
0–38%
1–38%
0–17%
1–17%

From our goals model: Al Riyadh 1.0 – 2.7 Al-Hilal Saudi FC expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAl-Hilal Saudi FC to win73%1.361.11
Double chanceAl-Hilal Saudi FC or draw91%1.101.02
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score57%1.762.05 ▲
Draw no betAl-Hilal Saudi FC (draw no bet)89%1.13–
Asian handicapAl-Hilal Saudi FC -1 (Asian handicap)68%1.47–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals88%1.13–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals71%1.40–
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals50%1.99–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals69%1.45–
First team to scoreAl-Hilal Saudi FC to score first72%1.38–
Half-time resultAl-Hilal Saudi FC ahead at half-time56%1.79–
Half-time / full-timeHT Al-Hilal Saudi FC / FT Al-Hilal Saudi FC52%1.94–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–29%11.21–

Recent results

Al Riyadh – last 6

DWDLWD
11 Oct@ Al-Fayha1–1D
13 Sepvs Al Kholood2–0W
7 Sep@ Al Khaleej Saihat0–0D
4 Sep@ Al-Ahli Jeddah0–5L
28 Augvs NEOM1–0W
25 Aug@ Al Shabab3–3D
1.2Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Al-Hilal Saudi FC – last 6

WWWWLW
13 Oct@ Al Sadd2–0W
10 Octvs Al-Ittihad FC3–2W
15 Sepvs Al-Gharafa2–1W
12 Sep@ Al Taawon6–0W
7 Sepvs NEOM0–2L
4 Sep@ Al Shabab2–0W
2.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Al Riyadh and Al-Hilal Saudi FC.

Al Riyadh vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC head-to-head page →

Pro League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Hilal Saudi FC111001+2330
2Al-Qadisiyah FC12912+2028
3Al-Nassr11911+1728
4Al-Ittihad FC11731+1024
5NEOM12714+822
6Al-Ahli Jeddah11704+921
7Al-Ettifaq12543+119
8Al Diriyah12435-315
9Al Khaleej Saihat12363-515
10Al Shabab11353+514
11Al Kholood11335-912
12Al Riyadh11335-1412
13Al-Fayha12255-411
14Al-Hazm12246-610
15Al-Faisaly FC12246-1110
16Al-Fateh12138-156
17Al Taawon12057-145
18Abha11038-123

More Pro League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Al Riyadh vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 57% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.05.

Who will win Al Riyadh vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC?

On our numbers Al Riyadh have a 9% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Al-Hilal Saudi FC 73%.

How many goals will there be in Al Riyadh vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC?

We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 71% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Al Riyadh vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC?

Our predicted score is Al Riyadh 1–2 Al-Hilal Saudi FC, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.

When is Al Riyadh vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC?

Al Riyadh vs Al-Hilal Saudi FC (Pro League) kicks off on Friday 16 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Prince Faisal bin Fahd Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.