Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.33 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.33Odds
Picks by market
ResultAl-Nassr to win ✓65% · @1.33
Double chanceAl-Nassr or draw ✓86% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗57% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.26
Al-Nassr vs NEOM: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
19:00 WAT, Tuesday 20 October: Al-Nassr v NEOM in the Pro League, played at Al-Awwal Park. In the table, Al-Nassr are 3rd, among the top four, on 28 points after 11 matches; NEOM are 5th (upper half) with 22.
Current form
Al-Nassr, last 5: WWLDW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Neftchi, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
NEOM, last 5: LWDWW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Al-Ettifaq, at home. 2.3 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Al-Nassr 2.0 xG, NEOM 0.8 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 57%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Al-Nassr 65%, draw 21%, NEOM 14%.
GG/NG: GG (57%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Al-Nassr to win (65%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Al-Nassr 2–0 NEOM. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Al-Nassr65%fair 1.53 · @1.33
Draw21%fair 4.81 · @4.60
NEOM14%fair 7.21 · @6.50
2.82Expected goals
2.01Al-Nassr xG
0.81NEOM xG
57%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–012%
1–012%
2–110%
1–110%
3–08%
3–17%
From our goals model: Al-Nassr 2.0 – 0.8 NEOM expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al-Nassr to win✓
65%
1.53
1.33
Double chance
Al-Nassr or draw✓
86%
1.16
1.08
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
57%
1.75
1.67
Draw no bet
Al-Nassr (draw no bet)✓
82%
1.21
–
Asian handicap
Al-Nassr -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
77%
1.29
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.87
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
84%
1.18
–
First team to score
Al-Nassr to score first✓
67%
1.49
–
Half-time result
Al-Nassr ahead at half-time✗
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al-Nassr / FT Al-Nassr✗
42%
2.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.26
–
Recent results
Al-Nassr – last 6
WWLDWL
12 Oct
vs Neftchi
3–1
W
9 Oct
vs Al Diriyah
3–0
W
15 Sep
@ Al Ain
0–4
L
12 Sep
@ Al Khaleej Saihat
1–1
D
9 Sep
vs Abha
2–1
W
5 Sep
@ Al-Ittihad FC
1–2
L
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
NEOM – last 6
LWDWWW
17 Oct
vs Al-Ettifaq
0–1
L
13 Oct
vs Al Sha'ab Hadhramaut
4–0
W
10 Oct
@ Al-Hazm
1–1
D
13 Sep
vs Al-Fateh
4–2
W
7 Sep
@ Al-Hilal Saudi FC
2–0
W
3 Sep
vs Al Khaleej Saihat
3–0
W
2.3Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al-Nassr and NEOM.
Our pick is Al-Nassr to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Al-Nassr vs NEOM?
On our numbers Al-Nassr have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 21% and NEOM 14%.
How many goals will there be in Al-Nassr vs NEOM?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al-Nassr vs NEOM?
Our predicted score is Al-Nassr 2–0 NEOM, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Al-Nassr vs NEOM?
Al-Nassr vs NEOM (Pro League) kicks off on Tuesday 20 October 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Al-Awwal Park.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
