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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Al-Fateh v Al Shabab: numbers & prediction

Pro League · Saudi-Arabia · Prince Abdullah bin Jalawi Stadium
1–3
FT
Al-Fateh 34%Draw 21%Al Shabab 45% Expected goals 1.28 – 1.51
62%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.44Odds

Picks by market

ResultAl Shabab to win ✓45% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.29
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓62% · @1.44
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.14

Al-Fateh vs Al Shabab: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Thursday 22 October the Pro League brings Al-Fateh against Al Shabab at Prince Abdullah bin Jalawi Stadium. Kick-off: 15:45 WAT. In the table, Al-Fateh are 16th, in the drop zone, on 6 points after 12 matches; Al Shabab are 10th (lower half) with 14.

Current form

Al-Fateh, last 5: LWLLL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Al Khaleej Saihat, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.

Al Shabab, last 5: DWDLL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Al-Faisaly FC, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (28 Apr 2026) it ended Al Shabab 1–1 Al-Fateh.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Al-Fateh 1.3 xG, Al Shabab 1.5 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 53%, GG 62%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Al-Fateh 34%, draw 21%, Al Shabab 45%.
  • GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.44.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (62%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Al-Fateh 1–1 Al Shabab. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Al-Fateh34%fair 2.94 · @2.90
Draw21%fair 4.68 · @3.30
Al Shabab45%fair 2.24 · @2.05
2.79Expected goals
1.28Al-Fateh xG
1.51Al Shabab xG
62%Both score
53%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–27%

From our goals model: Al-Fateh 1.3 – 1.5 Al Shabab expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAl Shabab to win ✓45%2.242.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.271.29
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓62%1.601.44
Draw no betAl Shabab (draw no bet) ✓57%1.76–
Asian handicapAl-Fateh +1 (Asian handicap) ✗73%1.37–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓77%1.30–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓53%1.89–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗69%1.44–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓85%1.18–
First team to scoreAl Shabab to score first51%1.97–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗41%2.42–
Half-time / full-timeHT Al Shabab / FT Al Shabab ✓25%3.95–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9%11.14–

Recent results

Al-Fateh – last 6

LWLLLD
18 Octvs Al Khaleej Saihat2–3L
15 Oct@ Al-Hazm3–2W
9 Octvs Al-Ahli Jeddah0–4L
13 Sep@ NEOM2–4L
9 Sepvs Al Diriyah1–2L
5 Sep@ Al Taawon0–0D
1.3Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Al Shabab – last 6

DWDLLD
19 Octvs Al-Faisaly FC2–2D
11 Octvs Al Taawon3–0W
12 Sepvs Al-Fayha0–0D
9 Sep@ Al Kholood1–2L
4 Sepvs Al-Hilal Saudi FC0–2L
30 Aug@ Al-Hazm1–1D
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

28 Apr 2026Al Shabab v Al-Fateh1–1
Al-Fateh vs Al Shabab head-to-head page →

Pro League table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Al-Hilal Saudi FC111001+2330
2Al-Qadisiyah FC12912+2028
3Al-Nassr11911+1728
4Al-Ittihad FC11731+1024
5NEOM12714+822
6Al-Ahli Jeddah11704+921
7Al-Ettifaq12543+119
8Al Diriyah12435-315
9Al Khaleej Saihat12363-515
10Al Shabab11353+514
11Al Kholood11335-912
12Al Riyadh11335-1412
13Al-Fayha12255-411
14Al-Hazm12246-610
15Al-Faisaly FC12246-1110
16Al-Fateh12138-156
17Al Taawon12057-145
18Abha11038-123

More Pro League predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Al-Fateh vs Al Shabab?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Al-Fateh vs Al Shabab?

On our numbers Al-Fateh have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Al Shabab 45%.

How many goals will there be in Al-Fateh vs Al Shabab?

We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 53% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Al-Fateh vs Al Shabab?

Our predicted score is Al-Fateh 1–1 Al Shabab, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.

When is Al-Fateh vs Al Shabab?

Al-Fateh vs Al Shabab (Pro League) kicks off on Thursday 22 October 2026 at 15:45 (West Africa Time) at Prince Abdullah bin Jalawi Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.