Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
Picks by market
ResultNEOM to win ✓66% · @1.53
Double chanceNEOM or draw ✓87% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.09
NEOM vs Abha: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 24 October the Pro League brings NEOM against Abha at King Khalid Sports City. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, NEOM are 5th, upper half, on 22 points after 12 matches; Abha are 18th (in the drop zone) with 3. There are 19 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
NEOM, last 5: LLWDW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Al-Nassr, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Abha, last 5: LDLLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Al-Qadisiyah FC, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours NEOM, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.3 for Abha.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give NEOM 1.8 xG, Abha 0.6 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – NEOM 66%, draw 22%, Abha 13%.
Lower-risk option: NEOM or draw (87%) at 1.14.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.73.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was NEOM to win (66%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: NEOM 1–0 Abha. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
NEOM66%fair 1.52 · @1.53
Draw22%fair 4.65 · @3.80
Abha13%fair 7.85 · @4.80
2.44Expected goals
1.80NEOM xG
0.64Abha xG
53%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
0–09%
3–09%
From our goals model: NEOM 1.8 – 0.6 Abha expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
NEOM to win✓
66%
1.52
1.53
Double chance
NEOM or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.14
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.87
1.73
Draw no bet
NEOM (draw no bet)✓
84%
1.19
–
Asian handicap
NEOM -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.79
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
NEOM to score first✓
67%
1.48
–
Half-time result
NEOM ahead at half-time✓
46%
2.20
–
Half-time / full-time
HT NEOM / FT NEOM✓
41%
2.42
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.09
–
Recent results
NEOM – last 6
LLWDWW
20 Oct
@ Al-Nassr
0–1
L
17 Oct
vs Al-Ettifaq
0–1
L
13 Oct
vs Al Sha'ab Hadhramaut
4–0
W
10 Oct
@ Al-Hazm
1–1
D
13 Sep
vs Al-Fateh
4–2
W
7 Sep
@ Al-Hilal Saudi FC
2–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Abha – last 6
LDLLLD
16 Oct
@ Al-Qadisiyah FC
1–2
L
13 Sep
@ Al Diriyah
0–0
D
9 Sep
@ Al-Nassr
1–2
L
4 Sep
vs Al-Ettifaq
0–1
L
28 Aug
@ Al-Fayha
2–3
L
25 Aug
vs Al Khaleej Saihat
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between NEOM and Abha.
Our pick is NEOM to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win NEOM vs Abha?
On our numbers NEOM have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Abha 13%.
How many goals will there be in NEOM vs Abha?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for NEOM vs Abha?
Our predicted score is NEOM 1–0 Abha, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is NEOM vs Abha?
NEOM vs Abha (Pro League) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at King Khalid Sports City.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
