Al-Hazm vs Al-Nassr: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Thursday 5 November the Pro League brings Al-Hazm against Al-Nassr at Al-Hazem Club Stadium. Kick-off: 18:00 WAT. In the table, Al-Hazm are 14th, lower half, on 10 points after 12 matches; Al-Nassr are 3rd (among the top four) with 28. There are 18 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Al-Hazm, last 5: LDLLD Their latest outing: 2–4 defeat to Al Khaleej Saihat, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Al-Nassr, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 6–2 win over Pakhtakor, away. 3.5 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Momentum favours Al-Nassr, collecting 3.0 points per game to 0.3 for Al-Hazm.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Al-Hazm 0.9 xG, Al-Nassr 2.4 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 66% and GG at 58%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Al-Hazm 11%, draw 19%, Al-Nassr 70%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.78.
Betarazi verdict
Our call: Over 2.5 goals (66%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Al-Hazm 1–2 Al-Nassr. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Al-Hazm11%fair 9.51 · @10.25
Draw19%fair 5.23 · @6.20
Al-Nassr70%fair 1.42 · @1.16
3.34Expected goals
0.89Al-Hazm xG
2.45Al-Nassr xG
58%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–211%
1–29%
0–19%
0–39%
1–18%
1–38%
From our goals model: Al-Hazm 0.9 – 2.4 Al-Nassr expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Al-Nassr to win
70%
1.42
1.16
Double chance
Al-Nassr or draw
89%
1.12
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score
58%
1.71
1.78
Draw no bet
Al-Nassr (draw no bet)
87%
1.15
–
Asian handicap
Al-Nassr -1 (Asian handicap)
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals
85%
1.18
1.07
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals
66%
1.51
1.33
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals
54%
1.84
1.79
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals
72%
1.39
1.32
First team to score
Al-Nassr to score first
71%
1.41
–
Half-time result
Al-Nassr ahead at half-time
53%
1.89
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Al-Nassr / FT Al-Nassr
48%
2.07
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2
9%
10.56
–
Recent results
Al-Hazm – last 6
LDLLDL
29 Oct
@ Al Khaleej Saihat
2–4
L
22 Oct
vs Al-Fayha
2–2
D
19 Oct
@ Al-Hilal Saudi FC
0–1
L
15 Oct
vs Al-Fateh
2–3
L
10 Oct
vs NEOM
1–1
D
11 Sep
@ Al-Ahli Jeddah
1–3
L
1.3Scored / game
2.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Al-Nassr – last 6
WWWWWW
2 Nov
@ Pakhtakor
6–2
W
29 Oct
vs Al Kholood
5–3
W
23 Oct
@ Al-Faisaly FC
3–1
W
20 Oct
vs NEOM
1–0
W
12 Oct
vs Neftchi
3–1
W
9 Oct
vs Al Diriyah
3–0
W
3.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Al-Hazm and Al-Nassr.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Al-Hazm vs Al-Nassr?
On our numbers Al-Hazm have a 11% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Al-Nassr 70%.
How many goals will there be in Al-Hazm vs Al-Nassr?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Al-Hazm vs Al-Nassr?
Our predicted score is Al-Hazm 1–2 Al-Nassr, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Al-Hazm vs Al-Nassr?
Al-Hazm vs Al-Nassr (Pro League) kicks off on Thursday 5 November 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Al-Hazem Club Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
