América W 80%Draw 16%Puebla W 4%Expected goals 4.72 – 1.78
65%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 2.00 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
2.00Odds
Picks by market
ResultAmérica W to win ✓80% · @1.01
Double chanceAmérica W or draw ✓96% · fair 1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @2.00
Correct scoreCorrect score 7–1 ✗6% · fair 16.76
América W vs Puebla W: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
América W welcome Puebla W to Estadio Banorte for a Liga MX Femenil fixture on Saturday 15 August (22:45 WAT). In the table, América W are 1st, leading the league, on 37 points after 14 matches; Puebla W are 17th (in the drop zone) with 4. There are 33 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
América W, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 10–0 win over Cruz Azul W, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 4. 4.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Puebla W, last 5: LLDDL Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Guadalajara W, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Momentum favours América W, collecting 2.5 points per game to 0.3 for Puebla W.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give América W 4.7 xG, Puebla W 1.8 xG – a total near 6.5. That is an open game on paper: 96% for three or more goals, 65% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – América W 80%, draw 16%, Puebla W 4%.
GG/NG: GG (65%) at 2.00.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (65%, odds 2.00 – longer than our fair 1.54, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: América W 7–1 Puebla W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
América W80%fair 1.25 · @1.01
Draw16%fair 6.42 · @10.00
Puebla W4%fair 22.31 · @34.00
6.50Expected goals
4.72América W xG
1.78Puebla W xG
65%Both score
96%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
7–16%
4–16%
7–25%
5–15%
4–25%
3–15%
From our goals model: América W 4.7 – 1.8 Puebla W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
América W to win✓
80%
1.25
1.01
Double chance
América W or draw✓
96%
1.05
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
65%
1.54
2.00 ▲
Draw no bet
América W (draw no bet)✓
95%
1.06
–
Asian handicap
América W -2 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
99%
1.01
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
96%
1.04
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Over 4.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
1.28
First team to score
América W to score first
73%
1.38
–
Half-time result
América W ahead at half-time✓
67%
1.50
–
Half-time / full-time
HT América W / FT América W✓
63%
1.60
–
Correct score
Correct score 7–1✗
6%
16.76
–
Recent results
América W – last 6
WWWWWL
8 Aug
vs Cruz Azul W
10–0
W
4 Aug
@ Santos Laguna W
3–0
W
24 May
vs Washington Spirit W
5–3
W
21 May
vs NJNY Gotham FC W
4–1
W
17 May
vs Monterrey W
3–0
W
15 May
@ Monterrey W
0–1
L
4.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Puebla W – last 6
LLDDLL
9 Aug
vs Guadalajara W
1–4
L
2 Aug
@ Tigres UANL W
0–8
L
5 Apr
@ Pumas UNAM W
2–2
D
1 Apr
vs Querétaro W
0–0
D
15 Mar
vs Juárez W
0–2
L
12 Mar
@ Atlético San Luis W
0–2
L
0.5Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between América W and Puebla W.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.
Who will win América W vs Puebla W?
On our numbers América W have a 80% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Puebla W 4%.
How many goals will there be in América W vs Puebla W?
We expect about 6.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 96% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for América W vs Puebla W?
Our predicted score is América W 7–1 Puebla W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 6.5 goals in total.
When is América W vs Puebla W?
América W vs Puebla W (Liga MX Femenil) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 22:45 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Banorte.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
