Tijuana W vs Necaxa W: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 16 August the Liga MX Femenil brings Tijuana W against Necaxa W at Estadio Caliente. Kick-off: 04:10 WAT. In the table, Tijuana W are 14th, lower half, on 11 points after 14 matches; Necaxa W are 18th (in the drop zone) with 1.
Current form
Tijuana W, last 5: LLWLD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Atlético San Luis W, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Necaxa W, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Pumas UNAM W, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Tijuana W, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.2 for Necaxa W.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Tijuana W 2.2 xG, Necaxa W 0.7 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 62% for three or more goals, 50% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Tijuana W 72%, draw 17%, Necaxa W 11%.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 1.83.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Tijuana W to win (72%, odds 1.24). Most likely score in line with that pick: Tijuana W 2–0 Necaxa W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Tijuana W72%fair 1.39 · @1.24
Draw17%fair 5.91 · @6.00
Necaxa W11%fair 8.96 · @10.50
2.96Expected goals
2.23Tijuana W xG
0.73Necaxa W xG
50%Both score
62%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–013%
1–012%
3–010%
2–19%
1–18%
3–17%
From our goals model: Tijuana W 2.2 – 0.7 Necaxa W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Tijuana W to win✓
72%
1.39
1.24
Double chance
Tijuana W or draw✓
89%
1.13
1.05
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
50%
1.98
1.83
Draw no bet
Tijuana W (draw no bet)✓
87%
1.16
–
Asian handicap
Tijuana W -1 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.60
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.23
1.12
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
1.42
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
60%
1.65
1.70
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
78%
1.29
1.28
First team to score
Tijuana W to score first
71%
1.40
–
Half-time result
Tijuana W ahead at half-time✓
52%
1.94
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Tijuana W / FT Tijuana W✓
47%
2.11
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.63
–
Recent results
Tijuana W – last 6
LLWLDW
9 Aug
@ Atlético San Luis W
1–2
L
2 Aug
vs Monterrey W
1–2
L
25 Apr
vs Mazatlán W
2–0
W
3 Apr
vs Tigres UANL W
0–2
L
30 Mar
vs Guadalajara W
1–1
D
22 Mar
@ Querétaro W
3–0
W
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Necaxa W – last 6
LLLLLD
9 Aug
vs Pumas UNAM W
1–2
L
3 Aug
@ Atlante W
0–1
L
2 Apr
vs Juárez W
0–6
L
28 Mar
@ Atlas W
2–3
L
21 Mar
@ Toluca W
1–5
L
15 Mar
vs Atlético San Luis W
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
3.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Tijuana W and Necaxa W.
Our pick is Tijuana W to win with a 72% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.24.
Who will win Tijuana W vs Necaxa W?
On our numbers Tijuana W have a 72% chance of winning, the draw 17% and Necaxa W 11%.
How many goals will there be in Tijuana W vs Necaxa W?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Tijuana W vs Necaxa W?
Our predicted score is Tijuana W 2–0 Necaxa W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Tijuana W vs Necaxa W?
Tijuana W vs Necaxa W (Liga MX Femenil) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 04:10 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Caliente.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
