Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.93 – our chance 55% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultToluca W to win ✗77% · @1.13
Double chanceToluca W or draw ✓95% · fair 1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.93
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗70% · @1.30
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.67
Toluca W vs Atlas W: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Toluca W welcome Atlas W for a Liga MX Femenil fixture on Tuesday 18 August (01:00 WAT). In the table, Toluca W are 6th, upper half, on 27 points after 14 matches; Atlas W are 13th (lower half) with 17.
Current form
Toluca W, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Juárez W, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately.
Atlas W, last 5: DLLDL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Pachuca W, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Toluca W, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.8 for Atlas W.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Toluca W 2.7 xG, Atlas W 0.7 xG – a total near 3.5. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 70% and GG at 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Toluca W 77%, draw 18%, Atlas W 5%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.93.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.93 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (70%, odds 1.30). Most likely score in line with that pick: Toluca W 3–0 Atlas W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Toluca W77%fair 1.30 · @1.13
Draw18%fair 5.64 · @8.30
Atlas W5%fair 18.57 · @16.00
3.49Expected goals
2.74Toluca W xG
0.75Atlas W xG
55%Both score
70%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–011%
3–010%
2–19%
1–08%
3–18%
4–07%
From our goals model: Toluca W 2.7 – 0.7 Atlas W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Toluca W to win✗
77%
1.30
1.13
Double chance
Toluca W or draw✓
95%
1.06
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.81
1.93 ▲
Draw no bet
Toluca W (draw no bet)
93%
1.07
–
Asian handicap
Toluca W -1 (Asian handicap)✗
74%
1.36
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
1.09
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
1.30
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
51%
1.98
2.00
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.44
First team to score
Toluca W to score first✗
76%
1.31
–
Half-time result
Toluca W ahead at half-time✗
59%
1.70
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Toluca W / FT Toluca W✗
55%
1.80
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.67
–
Recent results
Toluca W – last 6
WWLWWD
11 Aug
vs Juárez W
2–0
W
3 Aug
@ Atlético San Luis W
4–1
W
8 May
vs América W
1–7
L
4 May
@ Tigres UANL W
2–1
W
1 May
vs Tigres UANL W
2–1
W
25 Apr
@ Guadalajara W
1–1
D
2.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Atlas W – last 6
DLLDLW
8 Aug
vs Pachuca W
1–1
D
1 Aug
@ Cruz Azul W
1–3
L
25 Apr
vs Juárez W
1–2
L
6 Apr
vs Santos Laguna W
1–1
D
2 Apr
@ América W
0–2
L
28 Mar
vs Necaxa W
3–2
W
1.2Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Toluca W and Atlas W.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.30.
Who will win Toluca W vs Atlas W?
On our numbers Toluca W have a 77% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Atlas W 5%.
How many goals will there be in Toluca W vs Atlas W?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 70% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Toluca W vs Atlas W?
Our predicted score is Toluca W 3–0 Atlas W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Toluca W vs Atlas W?
Toluca W vs Atlas W (Liga MX Femenil) kicks off on Tuesday 18 August 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
