Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.00 – our chance 59% vs 50% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAmérica W to win ✓80% · @1.03
Double chanceAmérica W or draw ✓93% · fair 1.07
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @2.00
GoalsOver 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–3 ✗8% · fair 13.15
Necaxa W vs América W: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Necaxa W welcome América W to Estadio Victoria for a Liga MX Femenil fixture on Monday 24 August (01:06 WAT). In the table, Necaxa W are 18th, in the drop zone, on 1 points after 14 matches; América W are 1st (leading the league) with 37. There are 36 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Necaxa W, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 1–5 defeat to Tijuana W, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
América W, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 5–1 win over Puebla W, at home. 5.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours América W, collecting 3.0 points per game to 0.0 for Necaxa W.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Necaxa W 1.2 xG, América W 3.7 xG – a total near 4.9. That is an open game on paper: 86% for three or more goals, 59% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Necaxa W 7%, draw 13%, América W 80%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.00 – the bookmaker implies 50%, our ratings say 59%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Necaxa W 1–3 América W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Necaxa W7%fair 15.20 · @39.00
Draw13%fair 7.68 · @13.50
América W80%fair 1.24 · @1.03
4.86Expected goals
1.20Necaxa W xG
3.66América W xG
59%Both score
86%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–38%
1–47%
0–36%
1–26%
0–46%
0–25%
From our goals model: Necaxa W 1.2 – 3.7 América W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
América W to win✓
80%
1.24
1.03
Double chance
América W or draw✓
93%
1.07
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
59%
1.70
2.00 ▲
Draw no bet
América W (draw no bet)✓
92%
1.08
–
Asian handicap
América W -1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
95%
1.05
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
1.09
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Over 4.5 goals✓
59%
1.70
1.48
First team to score
América W to score first✓
75%
1.34
–
Half-time result
América W ahead at half-time✓
64%
1.57
–
Half-time / full-time
HT América W / FT América W✓
60%
1.67
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–3✗
8%
13.15
–
Recent results
Necaxa W – last 6
LLLLLL
16 Aug
@ Tijuana W
1–5
L
9 Aug
vs Pumas UNAM W
1–2
L
3 Aug
@ Atlante W
0–1
L
2 Apr
vs Juárez W
0–6
L
28 Mar
@ Atlas W
2–3
L
21 Mar
@ Toluca W
1–5
L
0.8Scored / game
3.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
América W – last 6
WWWWWW
15 Aug
vs Puebla W
5–1
W
8 Aug
vs Cruz Azul W
10–0
W
4 Aug
@ Santos Laguna W
3–0
W
24 May
vs Washington Spirit W
5–3
W
21 May
vs NJNY Gotham FC W
4–1
W
17 May
vs Monterrey W
3–0
W
5.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Necaxa W and América W.
Our pick is Over 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Necaxa W vs América W?
On our numbers Necaxa W have a 7% chance of winning, the draw 13% and América W 80%.
How many goals will there be in Necaxa W vs América W?
We expect about 4.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 86% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Necaxa W vs América W?
Our predicted score is Necaxa W 1–3 América W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.9 goals in total.
When is Necaxa W vs América W?
Necaxa W vs América W (Liga MX Femenil) kicks off on Monday 24 August 2026 at 01:06 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Victoria.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
