Toluca W 67%Draw 18%León W 15%Expected goals 2.43 – 1.07
67%
Betarazi pick
Toluca W to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
Picks by market
ResultToluca W to win ✓67% · @1.44
Double chanceToluca W or draw ✓85% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗65% · @1.44
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗68% · fair 1.47
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.48
Toluca W vs León W: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 29 August the Liga MX Femenil brings Toluca W against León W. Kick-off: 01:00 WAT. In the table, Toluca W are 6th, upper half, on 27 points after 14 matches; León W are 7th (upper half) with 25. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Toluca W, last 5: WDWWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Atlante W, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
León W, last 5: WLLWL Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Monterrey W, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game.
Momentum favours Toluca W, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.0 for León W.
Head to head
When they last met (1 Apr 2026) it ended León W 3–3 Toluca W.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Toluca W 2.4 xG, León W 1.1 xG – a total near 3.5. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 68% and GG at 65%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Toluca W 67%, draw 18%, León W 15%.
GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.44.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Toluca W to win (67%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Toluca W 2–1 León W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Toluca W67%fair 1.49 · @1.44
Draw18%fair 5.65 · @4.20
León W15%fair 6.62 · @5.00
3.50Expected goals
2.43Toluca W xG
1.07León W xG
65%Both score
68%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
2–09%
1–18%
3–18%
1–07%
3–07%
From our goals model: Toluca W 2.4 – 1.1 León W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Toluca W to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Toluca W vs León W?
On our numbers Toluca W have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 18% and León W 15%.
How many goals will there be in Toluca W vs León W?
We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 68% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Toluca W vs León W?
Our predicted score is Toluca W 2–1 León W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.
When is Toluca W vs León W?
Toluca W vs León W (Liga MX Femenil) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
