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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Juárez W v Cruz Azul W: numbers & prediction

Liga MX Femenil · Mexico
1–0
FT
Juárez W 61%Draw 14%Cruz Azul W 25% Expected goals 2.11 – 1.23
81%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗

9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1

Value bet: Juárez W to win @ 1.93 – our chance 61% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultJuárez W to win ✓61% · @1.93
Double chanceEither team to win ✓86% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗81% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.32

Juárez W vs Cruz Azul W: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Cruz Azul W travel to face Juárez W on Sunday 30 August in the Liga MX Femenil – the ball rolls at 04:10 WAT. In the table, Juárez W are 5th, upper half, on 30 points after 14 matches; Cruz Azul W are 12th (lower half) with 18. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Juárez W, last 5: WLLWD Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Santos Laguna W, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Cruz Azul W, last 5: LWLWL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Tigres UANL W, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 3.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Juárez W, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Cruz Azul W.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Juárez W 2.1 xG, Cruz Azul W 1.2 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 61% for three or more goals, 64% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Juárez W 61%, draw 14%, Cruz Azul W 25%.
  • GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.57.
  • Price worth noting: Juárez W to win @1.93 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 61%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (81%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Juárez W 2–1 Cruz Azul W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Juárez W61%fair 1.64 · @1.93
Draw14%fair 7.16 · @3.75
Cruz Azul W25%fair 3.97 · @3.50
3.34Expected goals
2.11Juárez W xG
1.23Cruz Azul W xG
64%Both score
61%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–110%
1–19%
2–08%
1–07%
3–17%
2–26%

From our goals model: Juárez W 2.1 – 1.2 Cruz Azul W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultJuárez W to win ✓61%1.641.93 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓86%1.161.20
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗64%1.561.57
Draw no betJuárez W (draw no bet) ✓71%1.41–
Asian handicapCruz Azul W +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓65%1.54–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗81%1.231.20
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗61%1.651.67
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓61%1.641.45
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓78%1.291.18
First team to scoreJuárez W to score first ✓61%1.64–
Half-time resultJuárez W ahead at half-time ✗43%2.31–
Half-time / full-timeHT Juárez W / FT Juárez W ✗37%2.73–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.32–

Recent results

Juárez W – last 6

WLLWDW
23 Augvs Santos Laguna W3–2W
16 Aug@ Tigres UANL W0–1L
11 Aug@ Toluca W0–2L
2 Augvs Pachuca W1–0W
30 Aprvs América W1–1D
25 Apr@ Atlas W2–1W
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Cruz Azul W – last 6

LWLWLD
23 Augvs Tigres UANL W0–3L
15 Augvs Atlante W3–1W
8 Aug@ América W0–10L
1 Augvs Atlas W3–1W
3 May@ Monterrey W0–4L
30 Aprvs Monterrey W1–1D
1.2Scored / game
3.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Juárez W and Cruz Azul W.

Juárez W vs Cruz Azul W head-to-head page →

Liga MX Femenil table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1América W141211+5037
2Monterrey W141211+3437
3Tigres UANL W141121+3535
4Guadalajara W141004+1730
5Juárez W141004+930
6Toluca W14833+927
7León W14815+325
8Santos Laguna W14716-422
9Pumas UNAM W14626-220
10Pachuca W14617+919
11Atlético San Luis W14617-419
12Cruz Azul W14608-918
13Atlas W14455-1417
14Tijuana W14329-1511
15Querétaro W142111-207
16Atlante W142111-207
17Puebla W141112-294
18Necaxa W140113-491

More Liga MX Femenil predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Juárez W vs Cruz Azul W?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Juárez W vs Cruz Azul W?

On our numbers Juárez W have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Cruz Azul W 25%.

How many goals will there be in Juárez W vs Cruz Azul W?

We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Juárez W vs Cruz Azul W?

Our predicted score is Juárez W 2–1 Cruz Azul W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.

When is Juárez W vs Cruz Azul W?

Juárez W vs Cruz Azul W (Liga MX Femenil) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 04:10 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.