Juárez W 61%Draw 14%Cruz Azul W 25%Expected goals 2.11 – 1.23
81%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Juárez W to win @ 1.93 – our chance 61% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultJuárez W to win ✓61% · @1.93
Double chanceEither team to win ✓86% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗64% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗81% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.32
Juárez W vs Cruz Azul W: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Cruz Azul W travel to face Juárez W on Sunday 30 August in the Liga MX Femenil – the ball rolls at 04:10 WAT. In the table, Juárez W are 5th, upper half, on 30 points after 14 matches; Cruz Azul W are 12th (lower half) with 18. There are 12 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Juárez W, last 5: WLLWD Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Santos Laguna W, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Cruz Azul W, last 5: LWLWL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Tigres UANL W, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 3.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Juárez W, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Cruz Azul W.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Juárez W 2.1 xG, Cruz Azul W 1.2 xG – a total near 3.3. That is an open game on paper: 61% for three or more goals, 64% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Juárez W 61%, draw 14%, Cruz Azul W 25%.
GG/NG: GG (64%) at 1.57.
Price worth noting: Juárez W to win @1.93 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (81%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Juárez W 2–1 Cruz Azul W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Juárez W61%fair 1.64 · @1.93
Draw14%fair 7.16 · @3.75
Cruz Azul W25%fair 3.97 · @3.50
3.34Expected goals
2.11Juárez W xG
1.23Cruz Azul W xG
64%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
1–19%
2–08%
1–07%
3–17%
2–26%
From our goals model: Juárez W 2.1 – 1.2 Cruz Azul W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Juárez W to win✓
61%
1.64
1.93 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✓
86%
1.16
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
64%
1.56
1.57
Draw no bet
Juárez W (draw no bet)✓
71%
1.41
–
Asian handicap
Cruz Azul W +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
81%
1.23
1.20
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.65
1.67
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
1.45
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
78%
1.29
1.18
First team to score
Juárez W to score first✓
61%
1.64
–
Half-time result
Juárez W ahead at half-time✗
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Juárez W / FT Juárez W✗
37%
2.73
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.32
–
Recent results
Juárez W – last 6
WLLWDW
23 Aug
vs Santos Laguna W
3–2
W
16 Aug
@ Tigres UANL W
0–1
L
11 Aug
@ Toluca W
0–2
L
2 Aug
vs Pachuca W
1–0
W
30 Apr
vs América W
1–1
D
25 Apr
@ Atlas W
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Cruz Azul W – last 6
LWLWLD
23 Aug
vs Tigres UANL W
0–3
L
15 Aug
vs Atlante W
3–1
W
8 Aug
@ América W
0–10
L
1 Aug
vs Atlas W
3–1
W
3 May
@ Monterrey W
0–4
L
30 Apr
vs Monterrey W
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
3.3Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Juárez W and Cruz Azul W.
What is the prediction for Juárez W vs Cruz Azul W?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Juárez W vs Cruz Azul W?
On our numbers Juárez W have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Cruz Azul W 25%.
How many goals will there be in Juárez W vs Cruz Azul W?
We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 64% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Juárez W vs Cruz Azul W?
Our predicted score is Juárez W 2–1 Cruz Azul W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.
When is Juárez W vs Cruz Azul W?
Juárez W vs Cruz Azul W (Liga MX Femenil) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 04:10 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.