León W 71%Draw 16%Puebla W 13%Expected goals 3.05 – 1.33
78%
Betarazi pick
Over 2.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.65 – our chance 65% vs 61% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultLeón W to win ✓71% · @1.18
Double chanceLeón W or draw ✓87% · @1.04
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓65% · @1.65
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓78% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–1 ✗8% · fair 12.68
León W vs Puebla W: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Puebla W travel to face León W on Tuesday 8 September in the Liga MX Femenil – the ball rolls at 02:06 WAT. In the table, León W are 7th, upper half, on 25 points after 14 matches; Puebla W are 17th (in the drop zone) with 4. There are 21 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
León W, last 5: LWLLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Toluca W, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Puebla W, last 5: WLLLL Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Necaxa W, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 4.2 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give León W 3.1 xG, Puebla W 1.3 xG – a total near 4.4. That is an open game on paper: 78% for three or more goals, 65% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – León W 71%, draw 16%, Puebla W 13%.
GG/NG: GG (65%) at 1.65.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.65 – the bookmaker implies 61%, our ratings say 65%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (78%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: León W 3–1 Puebla W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
León W71%fair 1.40 · @1.18
Draw16%fair 6.32 · @7.10
Puebla W13%fair 7.78 · @12.00
4.38Expected goals
3.05León W xG
1.33Puebla W xG
65%Both score
78%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
3–18%
2–18%
4–16%
3–06%
2–06%
3–25%
From our goals model: León W 3.1 – 1.3 Puebla W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
León W to win✓
71%
1.40
1.18
Double chance
León W or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.04
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
65%
1.54
1.65 ▲
Draw no bet
León W (draw no bet)✓
85%
1.18
–
Asian handicap
León W -1 (Asian handicap)✓
65%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
1.06
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
78%
1.28
1.25
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
60%
1.66
1.65
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
59%
1.71
1.53
First team to score
León W to score first
69%
1.45
–
Half-time result
León W ahead at half-time✓
55%
1.81
–
Half-time / full-time
HT León W / FT León W✓
50%
2.00
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–1✗
8%
12.68
–
Recent results
León W – last 6
LWLLWL
29 Aug
@ Toluca W
0–1
L
22 Aug
@ Monterrey W
3–2
W
18 Aug
vs Querétaro W
0–1
L
11 Aug
vs Tigres UANL W
1–2
L
2 Aug
@ Pumas UNAM W
5–2
W
25 Apr
vs Atlético San Luis W
1–2
L
1.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Puebla W – last 6
WLLLLD
30 Aug
vs Necaxa W
4–1
W
23 Aug
vs Atlético San Luis W
2–5
L
15 Aug
@ América W
1–5
L
9 Aug
vs Guadalajara W
1–4
L
2 Aug
@ Tigres UANL W
0–8
L
5 Apr
@ Pumas UNAM W
2–2
D
1.7Scored / game
4.2Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between León W and Puebla W.
Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win León W vs Puebla W?
On our numbers León W have a 71% chance of winning, the draw 16% and Puebla W 13%.
How many goals will there be in León W vs Puebla W?
We expect about 4.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 78% likely and both teams score 65% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for León W vs Puebla W?
Our predicted score is León W 3–1 Puebla W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.4 goals in total.
When is León W vs Puebla W?
León W vs Puebla W (Liga MX Femenil) kicks off on Tuesday 8 September 2026 at 02:06 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
