Toluca W 62%Draw 21%Tijuana W 17%Expected goals 2.28 – 1.14
62%
Betarazi pick
Toluca W to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.44Odds
Picks by market
ResultToluca W to win ✓62% · @1.44
Double chanceToluca W or draw ✓83% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.44
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓66% · fair 1.51
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.32
Toluca W vs Tijuana W: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
01:00 WAT, Tuesday 15 September: Toluca W v Tijuana W in the Liga MX Femenil. In the table, Toluca W are 6th, upper half, on 27 points after 14 matches; Tijuana W are 14th (lower half) with 11. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Toluca W, last 5: LWWDW Their latest outing: 1–5 defeat to Monterrey W, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Tijuana W, last 5: WLLWL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Pachuca W, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Toluca W, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.0 for Tijuana W.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Toluca W 2.3 xG, Tijuana W 1.1 xG – a total near 3.4. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 66% and GG at 62%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Toluca W 62%, draw 21%, Tijuana W 17%.
GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.44.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Toluca W to win (62%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Toluca W 2–1 Tijuana W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Toluca W62%fair 1.61 · @1.44
Draw21%fair 4.68 · @4.00
Tijuana W17%fair 6.00 · @5.00
3.42Expected goals
2.28Toluca W xG
1.14Tijuana W xG
62%Both score
66%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–110%
2–09%
1–18%
1–07%
3–17%
3–06%
From our goals model: Toluca W 2.3 – 1.1 Tijuana W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Toluca W to win✓
62%
1.61
1.44
Double chance
Toluca W or draw✓
83%
1.20
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
62%
1.62
1.44
Draw no bet
Toluca W (draw no bet)✓
79%
1.27
–
Asian handicap
Toluca W -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
55%
1.81
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
74%
1.35
–
First team to score
Toluca W to score first✓
65%
1.55
–
Half-time result
Toluca W ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Toluca W / FT Toluca W✓
41%
2.43
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
10%
10.32
–
Recent results
Toluca W – last 6
LWWDWW
6 Sep
@ Monterrey W
1–5
L
29 Aug
vs León W
1–0
W
24 Aug
@ Atlante W
2–1
W
18 Aug
vs Atlas W
1–1
D
11 Aug
vs Juárez W
2–0
W
3 Aug
@ Atlético San Luis W
4–1
W
1.8Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Tijuana W – last 6
WLLWLL
6 Sep
vs Pachuca W
3–1
W
30 Aug
@ América W
1–3
L
25 Aug
@ Atlas W
0–2
L
16 Aug
vs Necaxa W
5–1
W
9 Aug
@ Atlético San Luis W
1–2
L
2 Aug
vs Monterrey W
1–2
L
1.8Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Toluca W and Tijuana W.
Our pick is Toluca W to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Toluca W vs Tijuana W?
On our numbers Toluca W have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Tijuana W 17%.
How many goals will there be in Toluca W vs Tijuana W?
We expect about 3.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 66% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Toluca W vs Tijuana W?
Our predicted score is Toluca W 2–1 Tijuana W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.4 goals in total.
When is Toluca W vs Tijuana W?
Toluca W vs Tijuana W (Liga MX Femenil) kicks off on Tuesday 15 September 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
