Monterrey W vs Necaxa W: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
04:00 WAT, Saturday 19 September: Monterrey W v Necaxa W in the Liga MX Femenil, played at Cancha El Barrial. In the table, Monterrey W are 2nd, among the top four, on 37 points after 14 matches; Necaxa W are 18th (in the drop zone) with 1. There are 36 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Monterrey W, last 5: WWWLW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Guadalajara W, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 3.5 a game lately.
Necaxa W, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Juárez W, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Momentum favours Monterrey W, collecting 2.5 points per game to 0.0 for Necaxa W.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Monterrey W 2.9 xG, Necaxa W 1.2 xG – a total near 4.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 77% and GG at 55%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Monterrey W 75%, draw 11%, Necaxa W 14%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 2.38.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (55%, odds 2.38 – longer than our fair 1.81, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Monterrey W 2–1 Necaxa W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Monterrey W75%fair 1.34 · @1.03
Draw11%fair 9.04 · @15.00
Necaxa W14%fair 6.96 · @36.00
4.07Expected goals
2.90Monterrey W xG
1.17Necaxa W xG
55%Both score
77%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–18%
3–18%
2–07%
3–07%
4–16%
1–16%
From our goals model: Monterrey W 2.9 – 1.2 Necaxa W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Monterrey W to win✓
75%
1.34
1.03
Double chance
Either team to win✓
89%
1.12
–
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
55%
1.81
2.38 ▲
Draw no bet
Monterrey W (draw no bet)✓
84%
1.19
–
Asian handicap
Monterrey W -1 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
91%
1.09
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✓
58%
1.72
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
62%
1.63
–
First team to score
Monterrey W to score first✓
70%
1.43
–
Half-time result
Monterrey W ahead at half-time✓
55%
1.81
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Monterrey W / FT Monterrey W✓
50%
1.99
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
11.90
–
Recent results
Monterrey W – last 6
WWWLWW
13 Sep
@ Guadalajara W
3–2
W
6 Sep
vs Toluca W
5–1
W
30 Aug
@ Querétaro W
4–0
W
22 Aug
vs León W
2–3
L
18 Aug
@ Santos Laguna W
4–1
W
9 Aug
vs Atlante W
3–1
W
3.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
100%Over 2.5
Necaxa W – last 6
LLLLLL
13 Sep
@ Juárez W
0–1
L
6 Sep
vs Atlético San Luis W
0–2
L
30 Aug
@ Puebla W
1–4
L
24 Aug
vs América W
0–7
L
16 Aug
@ Tijuana W
1–5
L
9 Aug
vs Pumas UNAM W
1–2
L
0.5Scored / game
3.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Monterrey W and Necaxa W.
What is the prediction for Monterrey W vs Necaxa W?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.38.
Who will win Monterrey W vs Necaxa W?
On our numbers Monterrey W have a 75% chance of winning, the draw 11% and Necaxa W 14%.
How many goals will there be in Monterrey W vs Necaxa W?
We expect about 4.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 77% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Monterrey W vs Necaxa W?
Our predicted score is Monterrey W 2–1 Necaxa W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.1 goals in total.
When is Monterrey W vs Necaxa W?
Monterrey W vs Necaxa W (Liga MX Femenil) kicks off on Saturday 19 September 2026 at 04:00 (West Africa Time) at Cancha El Barrial.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.