América W 75%Draw 14%Atlas W 11%Expected goals 3.19 – 1.24
59%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.71 · bookmaker 2.20 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
2.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultAmérica W to win ✗75% · @1.03
Double chanceAmérica W or draw ✓89% · fair 1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓59% · @2.20
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–1 ✗8% · fair 12.51
América W vs Atlas W: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Atlas W travel to face América W on Sunday 20 September in the Liga MX Femenil, with Estadio Banorte the venue – the ball rolls at 22:45 WAT. In the table, América W are 1st, leading the league, on 37 points after 14 matches; Atlas W are 13th (lower half) with 17. There are 20 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
América W, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 5–2 win over Tigres UANL W, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 4 won, 0 lost from 4. The attack is flying at 5.3 goals per game.
Atlas W, last 5: WLLWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Atlante W, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours América W, collecting 3.0 points per game to 1.3 for Atlas W.
Head to head
When they last met (2 Apr 2026) it ended América W 2–0 Atlas W.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give América W 3.2 xG, Atlas W 1.2 xG – a total near 4.4. That is an open game on paper: 82% for three or more goals, 59% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – América W 75%, draw 14%, Atlas W 11%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 2.20.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (59%, odds 2.20 – longer than our fair 1.71, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: América W 3–1 Atlas W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
América W75%fair 1.33 · @1.03
Draw14%fair 7.11 · @17.00
Atlas W11%fair 9.23 · @46.00
4.43Expected goals
3.19América W xG
1.24Atlas W xG
59%Both score
82%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
3–18%
2–18%
3–06%
4–16%
2–06%
4–05%
From our goals model: América W 3.2 – 1.2 Atlas W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.20.
Who will win América W vs Atlas W?
On our numbers América W have a 75% chance of winning, the draw 14% and Atlas W 11%.
How many goals will there be in América W vs Atlas W?
We expect about 4.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 82% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for América W vs Atlas W?
Our predicted score is América W 3–1 Atlas W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.4 goals in total.
When is América W vs Atlas W?
América W vs Atlas W (Liga MX Femenil) kicks off on Sunday 20 September 2026 at 22:45 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Banorte.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.