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Toluca W v Tigres UANL W: numbers & prediction

Liga MX Femenil · Mexico
2–7
FT
Toluca W 37%Draw 21%Tigres UANL W 42% Expected goals 1.80 – 1.91
67%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.40Odds

Picks by market

ResultTigres UANL W to win ✓42% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓67% · @1.40
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓72% · fair 1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.42

Toluca W vs Tigres UANL W: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Tigres UANL W travel to face Toluca W on Tuesday 22 September in the Liga MX Femenil – the ball rolls at 01:00 WAT. In the table, Toluca W are 6th, upper half, on 27 points after 14 matches; Tigres UANL W are 3rd (among the top four) with 35.

Current form

Toluca W, last 5: WLWWD Their latest outing: 6–0 win over Tijuana W, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Tigres UANL W, last 5: LWWWW Their latest outing: 2–5 defeat to América W, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (4 May 2026) it ended Tigres UANL W 1–2 Toluca W. The last 2 head-to-heads: Toluca W 2 wins, Tigres UANL W 0, draws 0. Those games averaged 3.0 goals and saw GG land 2 times.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Toluca W 1.8 xG, Tigres UANL W 1.9 xG – a total near 3.7. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 72% and GG at 67%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Toluca W 37%, draw 21%, Tigres UANL W 42%.
  • GG/NG: GG (67%) at 1.40.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (67%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Toluca W 1–1 Tigres UANL W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Toluca W37%fair 2.68 · @2.70
Draw21%fair 4.83 · @3.50
Tigres UANL W42%fair 2.38 · @2.10
3.71Expected goals
1.80Toluca W xG
1.91Tigres UANL W xG
67%Both score
72%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–18%
1–28%
2–18%
2–27%
1–35%
0–15%

From our goals model: Toluca W 1.8 – 1.9 Tigres UANL W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultTigres UANL W to win ✓42%2.382.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.261.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓67%1.491.40
Draw no betTigres UANL W (draw no bet) ✓53%1.89–
Asian handicapToluca W +1 (Asian handicap) ✗72%1.39–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓88%1.13–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓72%1.40–
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✓51%1.97–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗69%1.46–
First team to scoreTigres UANL W to score first50%1.99–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗35%2.87–
Half-time / full-timeHT Tigres UANL W / FT Tigres UANL W ✓25%3.94–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%12.42–

Recent results

Toluca W – last 6

WLWWDW
15 Sepvs Tijuana W6–0W
6 Sep@ Monterrey W1–5L
29 Augvs León W1–0W
24 Aug@ Atlante W2–1W
18 Augvs Atlas W1–1D
11 Augvs Juárez W2–0W
2.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Tigres UANL W – last 6

LWWWWW
14 Sep@ América W2–5L
7 Sepvs Santos Laguna W3–0W
30 Augvs Pachuca W2–0W
23 Aug@ Cruz Azul W3–0W
16 Augvs Juárez W1–0W
11 Aug@ León W2–1W
2.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

4 May 2026Tigres UANL W v Toluca W1–2
1 May 2026Toluca W v Tigres UANL W2–1
Toluca W vs Tigres UANL W head-to-head page →

Liga MX Femenil table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1América W141211+5037
2Monterrey W141211+3437
3Tigres UANL W141121+3535
4Guadalajara W141004+1730
5Juárez W141004+930
6Toluca W14833+927
7León W14815+325
8Santos Laguna W14716-422
9Pumas UNAM W14626-220
10Pachuca W14617+919
11Atlético San Luis W14617-419
12Cruz Azul W14608-918
13Atlas W14455-1417
14Tijuana W14329-1511
15Querétaro W142111-207
16Atlante W142111-207
17Puebla W141112-294
18Necaxa W140113-491

More Liga MX Femenil predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Toluca W vs Tigres UANL W?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.

Who will win Toluca W vs Tigres UANL W?

On our numbers Toluca W have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Tigres UANL W 42%.

How many goals will there be in Toluca W vs Tigres UANL W?

We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 72% likely and both teams score 67% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Toluca W vs Tigres UANL W?

Our predicted score is Toluca W 1–1 Tigres UANL W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.

When is Toluca W vs Tigres UANL W?

Toluca W vs Tigres UANL W (Liga MX Femenil) kicks off on Tuesday 22 September 2026 at 01:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.