Necaxa W 7%Draw 12%Toluca W 81%Expected goals 1.00 – 3.31
59%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.69 · bookmaker 1.91 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.91Odds
Picks by market
ResultToluca W to win ✓81% · @1.05
Double chanceToluca W or draw ✓93% · @1.02
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗59% · @1.91
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–3 ✗8% · fair 12.32
Necaxa W vs Toluca W: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
02:06 WAT, Tuesday 29 September: Necaxa W v Toluca W in the Liga MX Femenil, played at Estadio Victoria. In the table, Necaxa W are 18th, in the drop zone, on 1 points after 14 matches; Toluca W are 6th (upper half) with 27. There are 26 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Necaxa W, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 0–10 defeat to Monterrey W, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Toluca W, last 5: LWLWW Their latest outing: 2–7 defeat to Tigres UANL W, at home. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.
Momentum favours Toluca W, collecting 1.7 points per game to 0.0 for Necaxa W.
Head to head
When they last met (21 Mar 2026) it ended Toluca W 5–1 Necaxa W.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Necaxa W 1.0 xG, Toluca W 3.3 xG – a total near 4.3. That is an open game on paper: 80% for three or more goals, 59% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Necaxa W 7%, draw 12%, Toluca W 81%.
GG/NG: GG (59%) at 1.91.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (59%, odds 1.91 – longer than our fair 1.69, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Necaxa W 1–3 Toluca W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Necaxa W7%fair 14.01 · @19.00
Draw12%fair 8.33 · @13.00
Toluca W81%fair 1.24 · @1.05
4.31Expected goals
1.00Necaxa W xG
3.31Toluca W xG
59%Both score
80%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–38%
1–38%
0–27%
1–27%
0–47%
1–47%
From our goals model: Necaxa W 1.0 – 3.3 Toluca W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.
Who will win Necaxa W vs Toluca W?
On our numbers Necaxa W have a 7% chance of winning, the draw 12% and Toluca W 81%.
How many goals will there be in Necaxa W vs Toluca W?
We expect about 4.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 80% likely and both teams score 59% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Necaxa W vs Toluca W?
Our predicted score is Necaxa W 1–3 Toluca W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.3 goals in total.
When is Necaxa W vs Toluca W?
Necaxa W vs Toluca W (Liga MX Femenil) kicks off on Tuesday 29 September 2026 at 02:06 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Victoria.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
