Atlas W 21%Draw 20%León W 59%Expected goals 1.09 – 2.01
59%
Betarazi pick
León W to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.75 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.75Odds
Picks by market
ResultLeón W to win ✗59% · @1.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✗80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.08
Atlas W vs León W: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Friday 23 October the Liga MX Femenil brings Atlas W against León W at Estadio Jalisco. Kick-off: 02:06 WAT. In the table, Atlas W are 13th, lower half, on 17 points after 14 matches; León W are 7th (upper half) with 25.
Current form
Atlas W, last 5: LWDWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Pumas UNAM W, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
León W, last 5: WLLWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Atlante W, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (24 Mar 2026) it ended León W 4–0 Atlas W.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Atlas W 1.1 xG, León W 2.0 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 60% and GG at 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Atlas W 21%, draw 20%, León W 59%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.57.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was León W to win (59%, odds 1.75 – longer than our fair 1.68, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atlas W 1–2 León W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Atlas W21%fair 4.85 · @3.70
Draw20%fair 5.02 · @3.40
León W59%fair 1.68 · @1.75
3.10Expected goals
1.09Atlas W xG
2.01León W xG
61%Both score
60%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–210%
1–110%
0–29%
0–19%
1–37%
0–36%
From our goals model: Atlas W 1.1 – 2.0 León W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is León W to win with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Atlas W vs León W?
On our numbers Atlas W have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 20% and León W 59%.
How many goals will there be in Atlas W vs León W?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Atlas W vs León W?
Our predicted score is Atlas W 1–2 León W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Atlas W vs León W?
Atlas W vs León W (Liga MX Femenil) kicks off on Friday 23 October 2026 at 02:06 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Jalisco.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.