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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Atlas W v León W: numbers & prediction

Liga MX Femenil · Mexico · Estadio Jalisco

Atlas W

LWDWL
1–1
FT

León W

WLLWW
Atlas W 21%Draw 20%León W 59% Expected goals 1.09 – 2.01
59%
Betarazi pick

León W to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.68 · bookmaker 1.75 · Lost ✗

5/10Rating
1.75Odds

Picks by market

ResultLeón W to win ✗59% · @1.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✗80% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓61% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.08

Atlas W vs León W: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Friday 23 October the Liga MX Femenil brings Atlas W against León W at Estadio Jalisco. Kick-off: 02:06 WAT. In the table, Atlas W are 13th, lower half, on 17 points after 14 matches; León W are 7th (upper half) with 25.

Current form

Atlas W, last 5: LWDWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Pumas UNAM W, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

León W, last 5: WLLWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Atlante W, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (24 Mar 2026) it ended León W 4–0 Atlas W.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Atlas W 1.1 xG, León W 2.0 xG – a total near 3.1. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 60% and GG at 61%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Atlas W 21%, draw 20%, León W 59%.
  • GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.57.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was León W to win (59%, odds 1.75 – longer than our fair 1.68, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atlas W 1–2 León W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Atlas W21%fair 4.85 · @3.70
Draw20%fair 5.02 · @3.40
León W59%fair 1.68 · @1.75
3.10Expected goals
1.09Atlas W xG
2.01León W xG
61%Both score
60%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–210%
1–110%
0–29%
0–19%
1–37%
0–36%

From our goals model: Atlas W 1.1 – 2.0 León W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLeón W to win ✗59%1.681.75
Double chanceEither team to win ✗80%1.251.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓61%1.641.57
Draw no betLeón W (draw no bet)74%1.35–
Asian handicapAtlas W +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓65%1.55–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82%1.23–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗60%1.67–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓62%1.60–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓80%1.25–
First team to scoreLeón W to score first ✓62%1.61–
Half-time resultLeón W ahead at half-time ✓43%2.30–
Half-time / full-timeHT León W / FT León W ✗37%2.68–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.08–

Recent results

Atlas W – last 6

LWDWLL
18 Oct@ Pumas UNAM W0–1L
26 Sep@ Querétaro W1–0W
20 Sep@ América W2–2D
12 Sepvs Atlante W1–0W
5 Sepvs Guadalajara W0–4L
31 Aug@ Atlético San Luis W1–6L
0.8Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

León W – last 6

WLLWWL
20 Octvs Atlante W2–0W
29 Sepvs América W0–5L
22 Sepvs Juárez W0–2L
15 Sep@ Pachuca W1–0W
8 Sepvs Puebla W5–2W
29 Aug@ Toluca W0–1L
1.3Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

24 Mar 2026León W v Atlas W4–0
Atlas W vs León W head-to-head page →

Liga MX Femenil table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1América W141211+5037
2Monterrey W141211+3437
3Tigres UANL W141121+3535
4Guadalajara W141004+1730
5Juárez W141004+930
6Toluca W14833+927
7León W14815+325
8Santos Laguna W14716-422
9Pumas UNAM W14626-220
10Pachuca W14617+919
11Atlético San Luis W14617-419
12Cruz Azul W14608-918
13Atlas W14455-1417
14Tijuana W14329-1511
15Querétaro W142111-207
16Atlante W142111-207
17Puebla W141112-294
18Necaxa W140113-491

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Atlas W vs León W?

Our pick is León W to win with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.

Who will win Atlas W vs León W?

On our numbers Atlas W have a 21% chance of winning, the draw 20% and León W 59%.

How many goals will there be in Atlas W vs León W?

We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 60% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Atlas W vs León W?

Our predicted score is Atlas W 1–2 León W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.

When is Atlas W vs León W?

Atlas W vs León W (Liga MX Femenil) kicks off on Friday 23 October 2026 at 02:06 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Jalisco.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.