Necaxa W 14%Draw 13%Cruz Azul W 74%Expected goals 1.12 – 2.82
61%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.64 · bookmaker 1.95 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.95Odds
Picks by market
ResultCruz Azul W to win ✓74% · @1.08
Double chanceEither team to win ✓87% · @1.05
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗61% · @1.95
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.55
Necaxa W vs Cruz Azul W: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Cruz Azul W travel to face Necaxa W on Sunday 4 October in the Liga MX Femenil, with Estadio Victoria the venue – the ball rolls at 04:10 WAT. In the table, Necaxa W are 18th, in the drop zone, on 1 points after 14 matches; Cruz Azul W are 12th (lower half) with 18. There are 17 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Necaxa W, last 5: LLLLL Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Toluca W, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.2 goals a game.
Cruz Azul W, last 5: LLWWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Guadalajara W, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Momentum favours Cruz Azul W, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.0 for Necaxa W.
Head to head
When they last met (12 Mar 2026) it ended Cruz Azul W 3–0 Necaxa W.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Necaxa W 1.1 xG, Cruz Azul W 2.8 xG – a total near 3.9. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 75% and GG at 61%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Necaxa W 14%, draw 13%, Cruz Azul W 74%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.95.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (61%, odds 1.95 – longer than our fair 1.64, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Necaxa W 1–2 Cruz Azul W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Necaxa W14%fair 7.39 · @21.00
Draw13%fair 7.91 · @9.50
Cruz Azul W74%fair 1.35 · @1.08
3.94Expected goals
1.12Necaxa W xG
2.82Cruz Azul W xG
61%Both score
75%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–29%
1–38%
0–28%
0–37%
1–16%
1–46%
From our goals model: Necaxa W 1.1 – 2.8 Cruz Azul W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Necaxa W vs Cruz Azul W?
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 61% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.
Who will win Necaxa W vs Cruz Azul W?
On our numbers Necaxa W have a 14% chance of winning, the draw 13% and Cruz Azul W 74%.
How many goals will there be in Necaxa W vs Cruz Azul W?
We expect about 3.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 75% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Necaxa W vs Cruz Azul W?
Our predicted score is Necaxa W 1–2 Cruz Azul W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.9 goals in total.
When is Necaxa W vs Cruz Azul W?
Necaxa W vs Cruz Azul W (Liga MX Femenil) kicks off on Sunday 4 October 2026 at 04:10 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Victoria.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
