Pachuca W 60%Draw 18%Toluca W 22%Expected goals 2.25 – 1.31
66%
Betarazi pick
Both teams to score
Good pick · fair odds 1.53 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.36Odds
1
Value bet: Pachuca W to win @ 1.80 – our chance 60% vs 56% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultPachuca W to win ✗60% · @1.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓82% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓66% · @1.36
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓69% · fair 1.45
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.60
Pachuca W vs Toluca W: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
02:06 WAT, Monday 5 October: Pachuca W v Toluca W in the Liga MX Femenil, played at Estadio Miguel Hidalgo. In the table, Pachuca W are 10th, lower half, on 19 points after 14 matches; Toluca W are 6th (upper half) with 27.
Current form
Pachuca W, last 5: WLLLL Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Santos Laguna W, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Toluca W, last 5: WLWLW Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Necaxa W, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.7 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Toluca W, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.0 for Pachuca W.
Head to head
When they last met (17 Feb 2026) it ended Toluca W 1–1 Pachuca W.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Pachuca W 2.3 xG, Toluca W 1.3 xG – a total near 3.6. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 69% and GG at 66%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Pachuca W 60%, draw 18%, Toluca W 22%.
GG/NG: GG (66%) at 1.36.
Price worth noting: Pachuca W to win @1.80 – the bookmaker implies 56%, our ratings say 60%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (66%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Pachuca W 2–1 Toluca W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Pachuca W60%fair 1.68 · @1.80
Draw18%fair 5.46 · @3.75
Toluca W22%fair 4.51 · @3.25
3.56Expected goals
2.25Pachuca W xG
1.31Toluca W xG
66%Both score
69%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–19%
1–18%
2–07%
3–17%
1–06%
2–26%
From our goals model: Pachuca W 2.3 – 1.3 Toluca W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Pachuca W vs Toluca W?
On our numbers Pachuca W have a 60% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Toluca W 22%.
How many goals will there be in Pachuca W vs Toluca W?
We expect about 3.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 69% likely and both teams score 66% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pachuca W vs Toluca W?
Our predicted score is Pachuca W 2–1 Toluca W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.6 goals in total.
When is Pachuca W vs Toluca W?
Pachuca W vs Toluca W (Liga MX Femenil) kicks off on Monday 5 October 2026 at 02:06 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Miguel Hidalgo.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
