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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Monterrey W v Cruz Azul W: numbers & prediction

Liga MX Femenil · Mexico · Cancha El Barrial
1–0
FT
Monterrey W 67%Draw 21%Cruz Azul W 12% Expected goals 2.93 – 1.37
67%
Betarazi pick

Monterrey W to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.50 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.25Odds
GG

Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.73 – our chance 62% vs 58% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultMonterrey W to win ✓67% · @1.25
Double chanceMonterrey W or draw ✓88% · @1.06
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗62% · @1.73
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.53

Monterrey W vs Cruz Azul W: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Cruz Azul W travel to face Monterrey W on Sunday 18 October in the Liga MX Femenil, with Cancha El Barrial the venue – the ball rolls at 02:00 WAT. In the table, Monterrey W are 2nd, among the top four, on 37 points after 14 matches; Cruz Azul W are 12th (lower half) with 18. There are 19 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Monterrey W, last 5: WWWWW Their latest outing: 4–3 win over América W, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 4.7 goals per game.

Cruz Azul W, last 5: WLLWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Necaxa W, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Monterrey W, collecting 3.0 points per game to 1.5 for Cruz Azul W.

Head to head

When they last met (3 May 2026) it ended Monterrey W 4–0 Cruz Azul W. The last 2 head-to-heads: Monterrey W 1 win, Cruz Azul W 0, draws 1. Those games averaged 3.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Monterrey W 2.9 xG, Cruz Azul W 1.4 xG – a total near 4.3. That is an open game on paper: 80% for three or more goals, 62% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Monterrey W 67%, draw 21%, Cruz Azul W 12%.
  • GG/NG: GG (62%) at 1.73.
  • Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.73 – the bookmaker implies 58%, our ratings say 62%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Monterrey W to win (67%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Monterrey W 2–1 Cruz Azul W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Monterrey W67%fair 1.50 · @1.25
Draw21%fair 4.77 · @4.80
Cruz Azul W12%fair 8.06 · @8.50
4.30Expected goals
2.93Monterrey W xG
1.37Cruz Azul W xG
62%Both score
80%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

2–18%
3–18%
2–06%
4–16%
3–06%
2–25%

From our goals model: Monterrey W 2.9 – 1.4 Cruz Azul W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultMonterrey W to win ✓67%1.501.25
Double chanceMonterrey W or draw ✓88%1.141.06
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗62%1.631.73 ▲
Draw no betMonterrey W (draw no bet) ✓84%1.19–
Asian handicapMonterrey W -1 (Asian handicap)62%1.61–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗93%1.08–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗80%1.25–
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✗62%1.61–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓57%1.75–
First team to scoreMonterrey W to score first ✓67%1.49–
Half-time resultMonterrey W ahead at half-time ✓53%1.88–
Half-time / full-timeHT Monterrey W / FT Monterrey W ✓47%2.11–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.53–

Recent results

Monterrey W – last 6

WWWWWW
3 Octvs América W4–3W
27 Sep@ Puebla W2–1W
19 Sepvs Necaxa W10–0W
13 Sep@ Guadalajara W3–2W
6 Sepvs Toluca W5–1W
30 Aug@ Querétaro W4–0W
4.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
100%Over 2.5

Cruz Azul W – last 6

WLLWWL
4 Oct@ Necaxa W2–0W
26 Sepvs Guadalajara W0–1L
22 Sep@ Santos Laguna W0–2L
12 Sepvs Pumas UNAM W3–2W
6 Sep@ Querétaro W2–0W
30 Aug@ Juárez W0–1L
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

3 May 2026Monterrey W v Cruz Azul W4–0
30 Apr 2026Cruz Azul W v Monterrey W1–1
Monterrey W vs Cruz Azul W head-to-head page →

Liga MX Femenil table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1América W141211+5037
2Monterrey W141211+3437
3Tigres UANL W141121+3535
4Guadalajara W141004+1730
5Juárez W141004+930
6Toluca W14833+927
7León W14815+325
8Santos Laguna W14716-422
9Pumas UNAM W14626-220
10Pachuca W14617+919
11Atlético San Luis W14617-419
12Cruz Azul W14608-918
13Atlas W14455-1417
14Tijuana W14329-1511
15Querétaro W142111-207
16Atlante W142111-207
17Puebla W141112-294
18Necaxa W140113-491

More Liga MX Femenil predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Monterrey W vs Cruz Azul W?

Our pick is Monterrey W to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Monterrey W vs Cruz Azul W?

On our numbers Monterrey W have a 67% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Cruz Azul W 12%.

How many goals will there be in Monterrey W vs Cruz Azul W?

We expect about 4.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 80% likely and both teams score 62% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Monterrey W vs Cruz Azul W?

Our predicted score is Monterrey W 2–1 Cruz Azul W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.3 goals in total.

When is Monterrey W vs Cruz Azul W?

Monterrey W vs Cruz Azul W (Liga MX Femenil) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 02:00 (West Africa Time) at Cancha El Barrial.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.