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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Cruz Azul W v Toluca W: numbers & prediction

Liga MX Femenil · Mexico · Estadio Centenario
1–2
FT
Cruz Azul W 23%Draw 15%Toluca W 62% Expected goals 1.23 – 2.22
62%
Betarazi pick

Toluca W to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.62 · bookmaker 1.91 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.91Odds

Picks by market

ResultToluca W to win ✓62% · @1.91
Double chanceEither team to win ✓85% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.40
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓67% · fair 1.49
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓10% · fair 10.40

Cruz Azul W vs Toluca W: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Cruz Azul W welcome Toluca W to Estadio Centenario for a Liga MX Femenil fixture on Sunday 25 October (01:10 WAT). In the table, Cruz Azul W are 12th, lower half, on 18 points after 14 matches; Toluca W are 6th (upper half) with 27.

Current form

Cruz Azul W, last 5: LWLLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Monterrey W, away. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Toluca W, last 5: DWWLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Santos Laguna W, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.5 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (5 Apr 2026) it ended Toluca W 0–4 Cruz Azul W.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Cruz Azul W 1.2 xG, Toluca W 2.2 xG – a total near 3.5. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 67% and GG at 63%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Cruz Azul W 23%, draw 15%, Toluca W 62%.
  • GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.40.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Toluca W to win (62%, odds 1.91 – longer than our fair 1.62, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cruz Azul W 1–2 Toluca W. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Cruz Azul W23%fair 4.42 · @3.10
Draw15%fair 6.47 · @3.40
Toluca W62%fair 1.62 · @1.91
3.45Expected goals
1.23Cruz Azul W xG
2.22Toluca W xG
63%Both score
67%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–210%
1–19%
0–28%
1–37%
0–17%
2–26%

From our goals model: Cruz Azul W 1.2 – 2.2 Toluca W expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultToluca W to win ✓62%1.621.91 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✓85%1.181.25 ▲
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓63%1.581.40
Draw no betToluca W (draw no bet) ✓73%1.37–
Asian handicapCruz Azul W +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓63%1.60–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓86%1.16–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓67%1.49–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓55%1.83–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓73%1.36–
First team to scoreToluca W to score first62%1.61–
Half-time resultToluca W ahead at half-time ✗45%2.23–
Half-time / full-timeHT Toluca W / FT Toluca W ✗38%2.60–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✓10%10.40–

Recent results

Cruz Azul W – last 6

LWLLWW
18 Oct@ Monterrey W0–1L
4 Oct@ Necaxa W2–0W
26 Sepvs Guadalajara W0–1L
22 Sep@ Santos Laguna W0–2L
12 Sepvs Pumas UNAM W3–2W
6 Sep@ Querétaro W2–0W
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Toluca W – last 6

DWWLWL
20 Octvs Santos Laguna W0–0D
5 Oct@ Pachuca W2–1W
29 Sep@ Necaxa W4–0W
22 Sepvs Tigres UANL W2–7L
15 Sepvs Tijuana W6–0W
6 Sep@ Monterrey W1–5L
2.5Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

5 Apr 2026Toluca W v Cruz Azul W0–4
Cruz Azul W vs Toluca W head-to-head page →

Liga MX Femenil table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1América W141211+5037
2Monterrey W141211+3437
3Tigres UANL W141121+3535
4Guadalajara W141004+1730
5Juárez W141004+930
6Toluca W14833+927
7León W14815+325
8Santos Laguna W14716-422
9Pumas UNAM W14626-220
10Pachuca W14617+919
11Atlético San Luis W14617-419
12Cruz Azul W14608-918
13Atlas W14455-1417
14Tijuana W14329-1511
15Querétaro W142111-207
16Atlante W142111-207
17Puebla W141112-294
18Necaxa W140113-491

More Liga MX Femenil predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Cruz Azul W vs Toluca W?

Our pick is Toluca W to win with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.91.

Who will win Cruz Azul W vs Toluca W?

On our numbers Cruz Azul W have a 23% chance of winning, the draw 15% and Toluca W 62%.

How many goals will there be in Cruz Azul W vs Toluca W?

We expect about 3.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 67% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Cruz Azul W vs Toluca W?

Our predicted score is Cruz Azul W 1–2 Toluca W, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.5 goals in total.

When is Cruz Azul W vs Toluca W?

Cruz Azul W vs Toluca W (Liga MX Femenil) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 01:10 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Centenario.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.