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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Samgurali v Meshakhte: numbers & prediction

David Kipiani Cup · Georgia

Samgurali

DWDLW
0–0
FTAET 1–0

Meshakhte

WLLDL
Samgurali 51%Draw 26%Meshakhte 23% Expected goals 1.78 – 1.16
51%
Betarazi pick

Samgurali to win

Fair pick · fair odds 1.95 · bookmaker 1.95 · Lost ✗

3/10Rating
1.95Odds

Picks by market

ResultSamgurali to win ✗51% · @1.95
Double chanceSamgurali or draw ✓77% · fair 1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · fair 1.94
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79% · fair 1.26
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.30

Samgurali vs Meshakhte: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Meshakhte travel to face Samgurali on Saturday 1 August in the David Kipiani Cup – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT.

Current form

Samgurali, last 5: DWDLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with WIT Georgia, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Meshakhte, last 5: WLLDL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Gonio, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Samgurali, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.7 for Meshakhte.

Head to head

When they last met (6 May 2026) it ended Samgurali 3–1 Meshakhte. The last 2 head-to-heads: Samgurali 1 win, Meshakhte 0, draws 1. Those games averaged 2.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Samgurali 1.8 xG, Meshakhte 1.2 xG – a total near 2.9. That is an open game on paper: 56% for three or more goals, 52% for GG.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Samgurali 51%, draw 26%, Meshakhte 23%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Samgurali to win (51%, odds 1.95). Most likely score in line with that pick: Samgurali 2–1 Meshakhte. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Samgurali51%fair 1.95 · @1.95
Draw26%fair 3.87 · @3.10
Meshakhte23%fair 4.36 · @3.30
2.94Expected goals
1.78Samgurali xG
1.16Meshakhte xG
52%Both score
56%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–111%
2–110%
1–09%
2–08%
1–26%
0–16%

From our goals model: Samgurali 1.8 – 1.2 Meshakhte expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSamgurali to win ✗51%1.951.95
Double chanceSamgurali or draw ✓77%1.30–
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗52%1.94–
Draw no betSamgurali (draw no bet)69%1.45–
Asian handicapMeshakhte +1 (Asian handicap) ✓63%1.59–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗79%1.26–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✗56%1.78–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓66%1.51–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓83%1.21–
First team to scoreSamgurali to score first ✗57%1.75–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓40%2.53–
Half-time / full-timeHT Samgurali / FT Samgurali ✗32%3.14–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10%10.30–

Recent results

Samgurali – last 6

DWDLWW
26 Jul@ WIT Georgia1–1D
20 Jul@ Spaeri1–0W
24 Jun@ Gagra0–0D
18 Jun@ Dinamo Tbilisi3–5L
13 Junvs Torpedo Kutaisi2–1W
25 Mayvs Saburtalo3–2W
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Meshakhte – last 6

WLLDLL
25 Jul@ Gonio2–1W
14 Julvs FC Urartu2–4L
23 Jun@ Saburtalo1–2L
18 Junvs Gagra1–1D
13 Jun@ Rustavi0–1L
30 Mayvs Dinamo Tbilisi1–6L
1.2Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
83%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

6 May 2026Samgurali v Meshakhte3–1
8 Mar 2026Meshakhte v Samgurali0–0
Samgurali vs Meshakhte head-to-head page →

More David Kipiani Cup predictions

League hub
FT Torpedo Kutaisi4 Odishi 19191 162%1.45X20%4.33218%4.75 2.1–1.1xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 61%@1.57 ✓
FT Rustavi1 Spaeri1 AET 3–1 145%2.20X27%2.90228%3.00 1.8–1.2xG 12Either team to win 73% ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Samgurali vs Meshakhte?

Our pick is Samgurali to win with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.95.

Who will win Samgurali vs Meshakhte?

On our numbers Samgurali have a 51% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Meshakhte 23%.

How many goals will there be in Samgurali vs Meshakhte?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 56% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Samgurali vs Meshakhte?

Our predicted score is Samgurali 2–1 Meshakhte, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Samgurali vs Meshakhte?

Samgurali vs Meshakhte (David Kipiani Cup) kicks off on Saturday 1 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.