Value bet: Nea Salamis to win @ 3.20 – our chance 34% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultOlympiakos to win ✗43% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗73% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.52
Olympiakos vs Nea Salamis: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
18:00 WAT, Friday 28 August: Olympiakos v Nea Salamis in the 1. Division, played at GSP Stadium. In the table, Olympiakos are 9th, lower half, on 9 points after 9 matches; Nea Salamis are 10th (lower half) with 8. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Olympiakos, last 5: WLLLD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Omonia Aradippou, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Nea Salamis, last 5: WDWLW Their latest outing: 7–2 win over Krasava Odintsovo, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 3.0 goals per game.
Momentum favours Nea Salamis, collecting 1.8 points per game to 0.7 for Olympiakos.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Olympiakos 1.4 xG, Nea Salamis 1.2 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 48%, GG 56%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Olympiakos 43%, draw 23%, Nea Salamis 34%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Nea Salamis to win @3.20 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 34%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (73%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Olympiakos 1–1 Nea Salamis. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Olympiakos43%fair 2.32 · @2.10
Draw23%fair 4.44 · @3.25
Nea Salamis34%fair 2.92 · @3.20
2.58Expected goals
1.38Olympiakos xG
1.19Nea Salamis xG
56%Both score
48%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–011%
0–19%
2–19%
0–08%
1–27%
From our goals model: Olympiakos 1.4 – 1.2 Nea Salamis expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Olympiakos to win✗
43%
2.32
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.29
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
1.73
Draw no bet
Olympiakos (draw no bet)
56%
1.79
–
Asian handicap
Nea Salamis +1 (Asian handicap)✓
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
72%
1.39
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
52%
1.91
1.77
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
73%
1.37
1.28
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
88%
1.14
–
First team to score
Olympiakos to score first
50%
2.02
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.31
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Olympiakos / FT Olympiakos✗
24%
4.15
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.52
–
Recent results
Olympiakos – last 6
WLLLDL
1 May
vs Omonia Aradippou
2–1
W
26 Apr
@ Ethnikos Achna
1–2
L
19 Apr
vs Akritas
0–1
L
15 Mar
@ Omonia Nicosia
0–5
L
1 Mar
@ AEK Larnaca
1–1
D
21 Feb
vs Akritas
1–3
L
0.8Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Nea Salamis – last 6
WDWLWD
14 Aug
vs Krasava Odintsovo
7–2
W
12 Aug
vs Anorthosis
2–2
D
21 Jul
@ Busko-Zdroj
4–0
W
19 Apr
@ Karmiotissa
0–1
L
4 Apr
vs Ayia Napa
3–0
W
22 Mar
@ Omonia 29is Maiou
2–2
D
3.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Olympiakos and Nea Salamis.
What is the prediction for Olympiakos vs Nea Salamis?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Olympiakos vs Nea Salamis?
On our numbers Olympiakos have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Nea Salamis 34%.
How many goals will there be in Olympiakos vs Nea Salamis?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 48% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Olympiakos vs Nea Salamis?
Our predicted score is Olympiakos 1–1 Nea Salamis, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Olympiakos vs Nea Salamis?
Olympiakos vs Nea Salamis (1. Division) kicks off on Friday 28 August 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at GSP Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
