Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.75 – our chance 63% vs 57% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultPafos to win ✗69% · @1.40
Double chancePafos or draw ✓88% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗63% · @1.75
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✗83% · fair 1.21
Correct scoreCorrect score 3–1 ✗8% · fair 13.00
Pafos vs Olympiakos: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 7 September the 1. Division brings Pafos against Olympiakos at Stelios Kyriakidis. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT. In the table, Pafos are 6th, upper half, on 16 points after 9 matches; Olympiakos are 9th (lower half) with 9.
Current form
Pafos, last 5: WWDDD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Omonia Nicosia, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Olympiakos, last 5: DWLLL Their latest outing: 3–3 draw with Nea Salamis, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Pafos, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.8 for Olympiakos.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Pafos 3.1 xG, Olympiakos 1.4 xG – a total near 4.5. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 83% and GG at 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Pafos 69%, draw 19%, Olympiakos 12%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.75.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.75 – the bookmaker implies 57%, our ratings say 63%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Pafos to win (69%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Pafos 3–1 Olympiakos. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Pafos69%fair 1.46 · @1.40
Draw19%fair 5.25 · @4.20
Olympiakos12%fair 8.12 · @6.50
4.50Expected goals
3.09Pafos xG
1.41Olympiakos xG
63%Both score
83%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
3–18%
2–17%
4–16%
3–05%
3–25%
2–05%
From our goals model: Pafos 3.1 – 1.4 Olympiakos expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pafos to win✗
69%
1.46
1.40
Double chance
Pafos or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.10
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
63%
1.58
1.75 ▲
Draw no bet
Pafos (draw no bet)
85%
1.18
–
Asian handicap
Pafos -1 (Asian handicap)✗
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
94%
1.07
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
83%
1.21
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
53%
1.88
–
First team to score
Pafos to score first✗
68%
1.47
–
Half-time result
Pafos ahead at half-time✗
55%
1.83
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pafos / FT Pafos✗
49%
2.04
–
Correct score
Correct score 3–1✗
8%
13.00
–
Recent results
Pafos – last 6
WWDDDL
3 Sep
@ Omonia Nicosia
1–0
W
30 Aug
@ Karmiotissa
3–0
W
27 Aug
vs Dinamo Tirana
2–2
D
20 Aug
@ Dinamo Tirana
1–1
D
13 Aug
vs Red Bull Salzburg
3–3
D
6 Aug
@ Red Bull Salzburg
0–1
L
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Olympiakos – last 6
DWLLLD
28 Aug
vs Nea Salamis
3–3
D
1 May
vs Omonia Aradippou
2–1
W
26 Apr
@ Ethnikos Achna
1–2
L
19 Apr
vs Akritas
0–1
L
15 Mar
@ Omonia Nicosia
0–5
L
1 Mar
@ AEK Larnaca
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pafos and Olympiakos.
Our pick is Pafos to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Pafos vs Olympiakos?
On our numbers Pafos have a 69% chance of winning, the draw 19% and Olympiakos 12%.
How many goals will there be in Pafos vs Olympiakos?
We expect about 4.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 83% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pafos vs Olympiakos?
Our predicted score is Pafos 3–1 Olympiakos, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.5 goals in total.
When is Pafos vs Olympiakos?
Pafos vs Olympiakos (1. Division) kicks off on Monday 7 September 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Stelios Kyriakidis.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
