AEL vs Nea Salamis: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
AEL welcome Nea Salamis to Alphamega Stadium for a 1. Division fixture on Friday 11 September (18:00 WAT). In the table, AEL are 3rd, among the top four, on 18 points after 9 matches; Nea Salamis are 10th (lower half) with 8.
Current form
AEL, last 5: LWWDL Their latest outing: 0–6 defeat to Apoel Nicosia, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Nea Salamis, last 5: LDWDW Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to AEK Larnaca, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.8 a game lately.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give AEL 2.7 xG, Nea Salamis 2.1 xG – a total near 4.8. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 85% and GG at 68%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – AEL 49%, draw 23%, Nea Salamis 28%.
GG/NG: GG (68%) at 1.70.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (68%, odds 1.70 – longer than our fair 1.47, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: AEL 2–2 Nea Salamis. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
AEL49%fair 2.04 · @2.00
Draw23%fair 4.42 · @3.20
Nea Salamis28%fair 3.51 · @3.40
4.75Expected goals
2.67AEL xG
2.08Nea Salamis xG
68%Both score
85%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
2–27%
2–16%
3–26%
3–16%
1–25%
1–15%
From our goals model: AEL 2.7 – 2.1 Nea Salamis expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
AEL to win✓
49%
2.04
2.00
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
68%
1.47
1.70 ▲
Draw no bet
AEL (draw no bet)✓
63%
1.58
–
Asian handicap
Nea Salamis +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
67%
1.49
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
95%
1.05
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Over 3.5 goals✗
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Over 4.5 goals✗
51%
1.94
–
First team to score
AEL to score first✓
56%
1.80
–
Half-time result
AEL ahead at half-time✓
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT AEL / FT AEL✓
33%
3.04
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
6%
15.61
–
Recent results
AEL – last 6
LWWDLL
6 Sep
@ Apoel Nicosia
0–6
L
30 Aug
vs Anorthosis
2–0
W
19 Aug
@ Krasava Odintsovo
4–0
W
9 Aug
@ Radomiak Radom
1–1
D
27 Apr
vs Anorthosis
0–1
L
22 Apr
@ Pafos
1–3
L
1.3Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Nea Salamis – last 6
LDWDWL
6 Sep
vs AEK Larnaca
1–4
L
28 Aug
@ Olympiakos
3–3
D
14 Aug
vs Krasava Odintsovo
7–2
W
12 Aug
vs Anorthosis
2–2
D
21 Jul
@ Busko-Zdroj
4–0
W
19 Apr
@ Karmiotissa
0–1
L
2.8Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between AEL and Nea Salamis.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.70.
Who will win AEL vs Nea Salamis?
On our numbers AEL have a 49% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Nea Salamis 28%.
How many goals will there be in AEL vs Nea Salamis?
We expect about 4.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 85% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AEL vs Nea Salamis?
Our predicted score is AEL 2–2 Nea Salamis, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 4.8 goals in total.
When is AEL vs Nea Salamis?
AEL vs Nea Salamis (1. Division) kicks off on Friday 11 September 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Alphamega Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
