Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.40 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.40Odds
Picks by market
ResultPafos to win ✗66% · @1.40
Double chancePafos or draw ✗90% · @1.08
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.16
Pafos vs AEL: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Pafos welcome AEL to Stelios Kyriakidis for a 1. Division fixture on Friday 18 September (18:00 WAT). In the table, Pafos are 6th, upper half, on 16 points after 9 matches; AEL are 3rd (among the top four) with 18. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Pafos, last 5: WDWWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over AEK Larnaca, away. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
AEL, last 5: WLWWD Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Nea Salamis, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (22 Apr 2026) it ended Pafos 3–1 AEL. The last 3 head-to-heads: Pafos 3 wins, AEL 0, draws 0. Those games averaged 2.7 goals and saw GG land 2 times.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Pafos 1.9 xG, AEL 0.6 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Pafos 66%, draw 24%, AEL 10%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.91.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Pafos to win (66%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Pafos 1–0 AEL. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Pafos66%fair 1.51 · @1.40
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @3.90
AEL10%fair 10.39 · @7.00
2.50Expected goals
1.89Pafos xG
0.61AEL xG
52%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
2–015%
1–19%
3–09%
2–19%
0–08%
From our goals model: Pafos 1.9 – 0.6 AEL expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Pafos to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Pafos vs AEL?
On our numbers Pafos have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 24% and AEL 10%.
How many goals will there be in Pafos vs AEL?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pafos vs AEL?
Our predicted score is Pafos 1–0 AEL, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Pafos vs AEL?
Pafos vs AEL (1. Division) kicks off on Friday 18 September 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Stelios Kyriakidis.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
