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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

AEK Larnaca v Omonia Aradippou: numbers & prediction

1. Division · Cyprus · AEK Arena
1–0
FT
AEK Larnaca 66%Draw 21%Omonia Aradippou 13% Expected goals 1.84 – 0.66
66%
Betarazi pick

AEK Larnaca to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.40 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.40Odds

Picks by market

ResultAEK Larnaca to win ✓66% · @1.40
Double chanceAEK Larnaca or draw ✓87% · @1.11
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓15% · fair 6.61

AEK Larnaca vs Omonia Aradippou: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Omonia Aradippou travel to face AEK Larnaca on Monday 12 October in the 1. Division, with AEK Arena the venue – the ball rolls at 17:00 WAT. In the table, AEK Larnaca are 1st, leading the league, on 20 points after 9 matches; Omonia Aradippou are 13th (in the drop zone) with 6. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

AEK Larnaca, last 5: WLWWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Omonia 29is Maiou, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. 2.0 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Omonia Aradippou, last 5: DDWDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Olympiakos, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.

Momentum favours AEK Larnaca, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.5 for Omonia Aradippou.

Head to head

When they last met (8 Aug 2026) it ended AEK Larnaca 0–1 Omonia Aradippou. The last 2 head-to-heads: AEK Larnaca 0 wins, Omonia Aradippou 2, draws 0. Those games averaged 2.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give AEK Larnaca 1.8 xG, Omonia Aradippou 0.7 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 49%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – AEK Larnaca 66%, draw 21%, Omonia Aradippou 13%.
  • GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.85.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was AEK Larnaca to win (66%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: AEK Larnaca 1–0 Omonia Aradippou. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

AEK Larnaca66%fair 1.52 · @1.40
Draw21%fair 4.65 · @4.00
Omonia Aradippou13%fair 7.89 · @6.00
2.50Expected goals
1.84AEK Larnaca xG
0.66Omonia Aradippou xG
49%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–015%
2–014%
1–110%
2–19%
3–09%
0–08%

From our goals model: AEK Larnaca 1.8 – 0.7 Omonia Aradippou expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAEK Larnaca to win ✓66%1.521.40
Double chanceAEK Larnaca or draw ✓87%1.151.11
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓51%1.961.85
Draw no betAEK Larnaca (draw no bet) ✓84%1.19–
Asian handicapAEK Larnaca -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓66%1.52–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗71%1.40–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓54%1.84–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76%1.32–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.12–
First team to scoreAEK Larnaca to score first ✓68%1.48–
Half-time resultAEK Larnaca ahead at half-time ✗46%2.18–
Half-time / full-timeHT AEK Larnaca / FT AEK Larnaca ✗42%2.40–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓15%6.61–

Recent results

AEK Larnaca – last 6

WLWWLW
18 Sep@ Omonia 29is Maiou2–1W
13 Sepvs Pafos0–1L
6 Sep@ Nea Salamis4–1W
29 Augvs Apoel Nicosia3–1W
8 Augvs Omonia Aradippou0–1L
30 Jul@ Beitar Jerusalem3–2W
2.0Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Omonia Aradippou – last 6

DDWDWL
20 Sepvs Olympiakos1–1D
12 Sep@ Karmiotissa1–1D
5 Sepvs Krasava Ypsonas2–1W
31 Aug@ Omonia Nicosia0–0D
8 Aug@ AEK Larnaca1–0W
1 May@ Olympiakos1–2L
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

8 Aug 2026AEK Larnaca v Omonia Aradippou0–1
22 Feb 2026Omonia Aradippou v AEK Larnaca2–1
AEK Larnaca vs Omonia Aradippou head-to-head page →

1. Division table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1AEK Larnaca9621+1120
2Omonia Nicosia9531+1118
3AEL9603018
4Apoel Nicosia9522+1017
5Apollon Limassol9441+1016
6Pafos9441+616
7Aris9432015
8Omonia 29is Maiou9324-211
9Olympiakos9162-19
10Nea Salamis9225-48
11Anorthosis9207-106
12Karmiotissa9135-146
13Omonia Aradippou9135-66
14Krasava Ypsonas9126-115

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for AEK Larnaca vs Omonia Aradippou?

Our pick is AEK Larnaca to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.

Who will win AEK Larnaca vs Omonia Aradippou?

On our numbers AEK Larnaca have a 66% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Omonia Aradippou 13%.

How many goals will there be in AEK Larnaca vs Omonia Aradippou?

We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for AEK Larnaca vs Omonia Aradippou?

Our predicted score is AEK Larnaca 1–0 Omonia Aradippou, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.

When is AEK Larnaca vs Omonia Aradippou?

AEK Larnaca vs Omonia Aradippou (1. Division) kicks off on Monday 12 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at AEK Arena.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.