Good pick · fair odds 1.67 · bookmaker 1.60 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.60Odds
2
Value bet: AEK Larnaca to win @ 2.40 – our chance 44% vs 42% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAEK Larnaca to win ✗44% · @2.40
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓60% · @1.60
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓75% · fair 1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.15
Aris vs AEK Larnaca: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Aris welcome AEK Larnaca to Alphamega Stadium for a 1. Division fixture on Sunday 18 October (17:00 WAT). In the table, Aris are 7th, upper half, on 15 points after 9 matches; AEK Larnaca are 1st (leading the league) with 20.
Current form
Aris, last 5: WWLDW Their latest outing: 4–0 win over Ethnikos Achna, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
AEK Larnaca, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Omonia Aradippou, at home. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (22 May 2026) it ended Aris 3–4 AEK Larnaca.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Aris 1.2 xG, AEK Larnaca 1.5 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 51%, GG 60%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Aris 33%, draw 23%, AEK Larnaca 44%.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.60.
Price worth noting: AEK Larnaca to win @2.40 – the bookmaker implies 42%, our ratings say 44%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (60%, odds 1.60). Most likely score in line with that pick: Aris 1–1 AEK Larnaca. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Aris33%fair 3.07 · @2.70
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.10
AEK Larnaca44%fair 2.25 · @2.40
2.70Expected goals
1.22Aris xG
1.48AEK Larnaca xG
60%Both score
51%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–08%
2–17%
0–27%
From our goals model: Aris 1.2 – 1.5 AEK Larnaca expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.60.
Who will win Aris vs AEK Larnaca?
On our numbers Aris have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 23% and AEK Larnaca 44%.
How many goals will there be in Aris vs AEK Larnaca?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 51% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Aris vs AEK Larnaca?
Our predicted score is Aris 1–1 AEK Larnaca, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Aris vs AEK Larnaca?
Aris vs AEK Larnaca (1. Division) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Alphamega Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
