Very strong pick · fair odds 1.24 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
1
Value bet: Pafos to win @ 1.91 – our chance 57% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultPafos to win ✗57% · @1.91
Double chancePafos or draw ✓81% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗60% · @1.75
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗10% · fair 10.06
Pafos vs Apoel Nicosia: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Apoel Nicosia travel to face Pafos on Monday 19 October in the 1. Division, with Stelios Kyriakides Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT. In the table, Pafos are 6th, upper half, on 16 points after 9 matches; Apoel Nicosia are 4th (among the top four) with 17. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Pafos, last 5: LWLWD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Atalanta, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Apoel Nicosia, last 5: WDLWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Nea Salamis, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.5 a game lately.
Head to head
When they last met (22 May 2026) it ended Pafos 2–0 Apoel Nicosia.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Pafos 2.0 xG, Apoel Nicosia 1.0 xG – a total near 3.0. That is an open game on paper: 58% for three or more goals, 60% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Pafos 57%, draw 23%, Apoel Nicosia 19%.
Lower-risk option: Pafos or draw (81%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: GG (60%) at 1.75.
Price worth noting: Pafos to win @1.91 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 57%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Pafos or draw (81%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Pafos 1–1 Apoel Nicosia. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Pafos57%fair 1.74 · @1.91
Draw23%fair 4.26 · @3.10
Apoel Nicosia19%fair 5.25 · @3.75
3.00Expected goals
1.95Pafos xG
1.05Apoel Nicosia xG
60%Both score
58%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–110%
2–110%
1–010%
2–09%
3–16%
3–06%
From our goals model: Pafos 2.0 – 1.0 Apoel Nicosia expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Pafos vs Apoel Nicosia?
Our pick is Pafos or draw with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Pafos vs Apoel Nicosia?
On our numbers Pafos have a 57% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Apoel Nicosia 19%.
How many goals will there be in Pafos vs Apoel Nicosia?
We expect about 3.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 58% likely and both teams score 60% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pafos vs Apoel Nicosia?
Our predicted score is Pafos 1–1 Apoel Nicosia, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.0 goals in total.
When is Pafos vs Apoel Nicosia?
Pafos vs Apoel Nicosia (1. Division) kicks off on Monday 19 October 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Stelios Kyriakides Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
