Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.57Odds
Picks by market
ResultAris to win ✓45% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.57
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.08
AEL vs Aris: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Aris travel to face AEL on Sunday 25 October in the 1. Division, with Alphamega Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 18:00 WAT. In the table, AEL are 3rd, among the top four, on 18 points after 9 matches; Aris are 7th (upper half) with 15. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
AEL, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Omonia Aradippou, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.3 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Aris, last 5: DWWLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with AEK Larnaca, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours AEL, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.8 for Aris.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give AEL 1.2 xG, Aris 1.5 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 52%, GG 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – AEL 33%, draw 22%, Aris 45%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.57.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (63%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: AEL 1–1 Aris. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
AEL33%fair 3.06 · @3.10
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.20
Aris45%fair 2.23 · @2.05
2.75Expected goals
1.24AEL xG
1.51Aris xG
63%Both score
52%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–08%
2–17%
0–27%
From our goals model: AEL 1.2 – 1.5 Aris expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Aris to win✓
45%
2.23
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
78%
1.29
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.58
1.57
Draw no bet
Aris (draw no bet)✓
58%
1.73
–
Asian handicap
AEL +1 (Asian handicap)✗
73%
1.38
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
52%
1.93
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
70%
1.42
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
86%
1.17
–
First team to score
Aris to score first✓
51%
1.95
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
42%
2.40
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Aris / FT Aris✓
26%
3.89
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.08
–
Recent results
AEL – last 6
WWWWLW
18 Oct
@ Omonia Aradippou
2–0
W
11 Oct
vs Omonia 29is Maiou
2–1
W
18 Sep
@ Pafos
2–0
W
11 Sep
vs Nea Salamis
2–1
W
6 Sep
@ Apoel Nicosia
0–6
L
30 Aug
vs Anorthosis
2–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Aris – last 6
DWWLDW
18 Oct
vs AEK Larnaca
1–1
D
14 Oct
vs Ethnikos Achna
4–0
W
11 Oct
@ Olympiakos
2–1
W
3 Oct
vs Riga
1–2
L
20 Sep
vs Karmiotissa
0–0
D
14 Sep
@ Krasava Ypsonas
1–0
W
1.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between AEL and Aris.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win AEL vs Aris?
On our numbers AEL have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Aris 45%.
How many goals will there be in AEL vs Aris?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 52% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for AEL vs Aris?
Our predicted score is AEL 1–1 Aris, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is AEL vs Aris?
AEL vs Aris (1. Division) kicks off on Sunday 25 October 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Alphamega Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
